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All GLG News Analyses Filed Under: Residential Market Trends

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Anthony Trella Posted June 2, 2008
Why is there no effort by the media to understand the DEMAND side of the housing industry?
Analysis of: The Truth Behind Florida's Housing Numbers | online.wsj.com
Author: Anthony Trella, CEO/President The Meranth Company, Inc.
This article is just another example of somewhat reckless reporting by the “drive-by” media. Yes, there was excessive overbuilding of housing during the three years prior to 2006.  Yes, there is a huge number of empty or unsold housing that must be sold over the next few years.  This message...
Posted June 2, 2008
The Truth Behind Florida's Housing Numbers
Analysis of: The Truth Behind Florida's Housing Numbers | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
Values for ad valorem tax purposes tell a different story. Ad valorem assessments for 2008 and forecasted for 2009 suggest sales are lower than during the bubble, but so far the sky has not fallen.
Posted May 30, 2008
Why the Global Housing Market Boom Bypassed Germany
Analysis of: Why the Global Housing Market Boom Bypassed Germany | www.spiegel.de
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
The article - while correct  - is too focussed on residential and East German real estate. The real opportunity for profitable German property investment is in the major West German cities for appartments and homes and for commerial real estate, mostly in West German medium-sized cities.
A. Ron Evangelista Posted May 30, 2008
Aprtment starts/condos
Analysis of: Apartment Starts Will Trend Down After this Year, Held Low by Shadow Inventory, Condo-to-Rental Conversions, Says NAHB Economist | www.multihousingnews.com
Author: A. Ron Evangelista, Owner/Broker Vantage Pointe International of Nevada, LLC
Las Vegas is in the midst of an explosion of Mega projects. The city is looking for 40,000+ new employess to fill jobs at these resorts. Where will these people live given the new mortgage parameters? Although apartment starts are somewhat down, the large number of condo buildings will provide...
Posted May 29, 2008
Apartment Starts Will Trend Down After this Year, Held Low by Shadow Inventory, Condo-to-Rental Conversions, Says NAHB Economist
Analysis of: Apartment Starts Will Trend Down After this Year, Held Low by Shadow Inventory, Condo-to-Rental Conversions, Says NAHB Economist | www.multihousingnews.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
We need to stop looking at the "multifamily market" as a single market. Clearly, given the current condominium market (or lack thereof), we need to talking in terms of rental apartments and for-sale condominium product, regardless of whether some of that condo product may temporarily be placed into...
Posted May 20, 2008
Fannie Is Poised to Scrap Policy Over Down Payments
Analysis of: Fannie Is Poised to Scrap Policy Over Down Payments | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
Increasing leverage got us into the credit crisis. With an upturn in housing prices perhaps 10 years away, how can this simple solution serve the new housing buyers or the broader economy?. We are basically transferring risk from banks and new housing buyers to the federal government. Sounds like...
Posted May 19, 2008
The Housing Crisis is Over
Analysis of: The Housing Crisis is Over | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
Cyril Moulle-Berteaux relates interesting facts that corroborate the return to a normal housing economy in the future.  Yet, others do not understand Moulle-Berteaux’s historical analysis.  
Anthony Trella Posted May 19, 2008
South Florida Condominium Minefield -- Condominium Associations
Analysis of: Investor Report: Miami-Dade County | realtytimes.com
Author: Anthony Trella, CEO/President The Meranth Company, Inc.
Buyers and Investors Beware:  In addition to determining values (prices), careful analysis of the financial conditions of Condominium Associations (CA's) must be prudently examined before purchasing.  
Posted May 19, 2008
Investor Report: Miami-Dade County
Analysis of: Investor Report: Miami-Dade County | realtytimes.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
What is another risk !
Jack Kern Posted May 19, 2008
Miami-Dade Market Analysis
Analysis of: Investor Report: Miami-Dade County | realtytimes.com
Author: Jack Kern, Managing Director Kern Investment Research
South Florida is undergoing a major change from the height of development to the peaks of uncertainty. With almost 20,000 units in the pipeline for 2008/2009 and at least 10,000 more orginally planned after that, it shouldn't be a surprise that condos are being sold wholesale right now. Keep this in...
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