All GLG News Analyses Filed Under: Residential Market Trends

David LereahPresidentReecon Advisors

A Convincing Case for a Homebuyer Tax Credit Extension

October 6, 2009

Analysis of:Extend the Homebuyer Tax Credit | www.realestateeconomywatch.com

With the expiration date rapidly approaching, supporters of the tax credit fear that the housing recovery may stumble in the absence of this housing subsidy. Opponents believe that extending the program would be costly, expressing concerns about excessive government spending and a run-away federal budget deficit. They also believe that a tax credit program does not solve the problems of the housing sector; it only postpones dealing with those problems.

John BurnsPresidentJOHN BURNS REAL ESTATE CONSULTING, INC.

Short Sales Are About to Increase

October 5, 2009

Analysis of:Short Sales: A Fraying Lifeline for Homeowners | www.businessweek.com

Treasury is announcing new terms that they hope will encourage more short-sales. These transactions have not been very effective in the past, and while this is probably not going to be a game changer, it’s wise to expect the incentives could spur some level of increase in short sales.

Joseph ChathamPresidentChatham Mortgage Partners Inc.

Lower Rates, While Great, Do Little For Jumbo Lending

October 1, 2009

Analysis of:Real Estate Outlook: Mortgage Rate Dip Impacts Housing | realtytimes.com

The Realty Times article reflects the positive effects of lower interest rates on mortgage originations and home purchases, but fails to note the failure of said rates to transcend the conforming/conventional markets into the jumbo markets. The implications of this failure are that many homeowners in the higher cost states (CA, NY, MA, etc.) still cannot get competitive financing; thus, driving home prices down further.

David LereahPresidentReecon Advisors

Case-Shiller Home Price Index Positive Development for Housing

September 30, 2009

Analysis of:Home Price Report Offers Encouraging News | www.realestateeconomywatch.com

Home values, as measured by the popular S&P Case-Shiller home price index of 20 cities rose 1.6 percent in July from a month earlier. Home prices also rose in June and May on a month over month basis. The three-month steady improvement in home values indicates that the housing markets may be stabilizing.

David LereahPresidentReecon Advisors

Mortgage Applications Drop Despite Lower Mortgage Rates

September 30, 2009

Analysis of:Mortgage Applications Decrease in Latest MBA Weekly Survey | www.mortgagebankers.org

The weekly mortgage application survey released by the MBA reported that both purchase and refinance application were down which was disappointing news for the housing markets given that mortgage rates fell during the week.

Joseph ChathamPresidentChatham Mortgage Partners Inc.

It is all in the "W"

September 28, 2009

Analysis of:KB Home Loss Narrows on Fewer Write-Downs | online.wsj.com

KB, a lower cost builder, is benefitting from the perception that we have hit the bottom. We have not. Thus, the peak of the inside of the "W" is about to wane.

It's about TIME the Goverment takes action to stop these banks!

September 25, 2009

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:Singapore Toughens Rules on Home Loans | online.wsj.com

Banks are still supporting Developers for Brand new project sales at ' new market high prices' & yet they do not want to re-finance / restructure home loans of Under-Construction' units.Banks are taking a swipe at these mass market buyers loans & if they do not watch, they will face a mini-sub prime from these middle income speculators in the next 2 yrs.....Kudos for the Singapore Government for taking the preventive measures but more has to be done to encourage the bankers to do the 3 Rs for their existing clients. Re-schudule, retain & repackage

Pet Policies can affect the Value of High Rise Condominiums

September 23, 2009

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:Adjusting Philadelphia Condo Pricing | www.centercitycondos.com

Condominium Pet Policies and Resale ValueExclusionary pet policies can lower demand for any give condominium association. Low demand generally equates to a long time on the market for available condos for sale, and can drag down sale prices.

Steve BottfeldPrincipalMarketing Solutions

Foreclosures: The Key to the Real Future of Las Vegas

September 21, 2009

Analysis of:New Homes Back in Play for Las Vegas Buyers | www.lvrj.com

Las Vegas housing statistics for August continue to suggest that the residential market is scudding along a bumpy bottom, struggling to find stability in sales, inventory and pricing.But the big story in the August data for the Las Vegas residential market can be summed up in a single word: Foreclosures.

Small May Not Be Beautiful, But Big Is Usually Ugly

September 19, 2009

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:Govt Working on Real Estate Regulator for Housing Sector | www.indianrealtynews.com

The easiest way to smother property rights and destroy wealth is to over-regulate it.The proper role of government regulation is not to supplant private market activity, but rather to provide, in this case, such things as a registry of ownership, and a venue to resolve disputes.So, if government wants to establish a "land agency", it can either facilitate ownership, transfer, and (incidentally) taxation, or it can try to supplant existing private contractual avenues.

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