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All GLG News Analyses Filed Under: Residential Market Trends

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Paul Burns Posted February 1, 2007
The Mortgage Business is in Trouble!
Analysis of: Double Trouble for Mortgage Shares | www.wsj.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner City Investments
I believe we will see a further significant downturn in housing prices which will follow an abundant oversupply of homes on the market produced by defaults over the next year.- Real estate broker volume may increase but home building and land development will be off.- The purchase side of mortgage banking...
Paul Burns Posted February 1, 2007
Is Bob Toll Right?
Analysis of: Mr. Toll Turns To Towers | www.wsj.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner City Investments
I believe we will now have a business downturn as result of reduced demand in the housing and auto industries and the debt service requirement on the federal budget.  I think China and other offshore sources have been funding our consumer spending with low interest rates when they advance funds...
Jim Belfiore Posted January 29, 2007
Resales are Overpriced
Analysis of: Existing-Home Sales Plunge But Pace Is Expected to Ease | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
The "plunge" in resale home sales should not come as a surprise to anyone.  Resales are simply overpriced.
Jim Belfiore Posted January 26, 2007
Watch for the "False" Bottom
Analysis of: New homes in the Valley | arizonarepublic.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
The article suggests new home building has "hit bottom" in metro Phoenix.  Regardless of what is meant by "hit bottom", the new home market is at least a few months from hitting bottom.
Jim Belfiore Posted January 26, 2007
Is the Phoenix Metro Area Market Making a Turn?
Analysis of: Housing Glut Gives Buyers Upper Hand | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
Recent survey data suggests the market may have turned a corner.  Speculative supply appears to be retreating and pricing should soon stabilize.
Posted January 22, 2007
Who knows?
Analysis of: Real estate bubbles: How worried should we be? | www.iht.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
Whilst some housing markets are international, most are mediated by a number of local and regional factors.
Paul Burns Posted January 12, 2007
Some Good Thoughts About Future Housing Markets Here!
Analysis of: The changing housing market: A bang or a whimper? | www.bos.frb.org
Author: Paul Burns, Owner City Investments
I like three of the points made here best.  Housing prices have been increasing faster than incomes, the sub-prime market has never been tested in a down housing market and if the market becomes an auction market, prices can fall sharply.  I think these are the keys to further price and...
Kenneth Egan Posted January 12, 2007
Premature to call the Real Estate market "cooling" over
Analysis of: Home prices still rising amid cooling sales | www.bendbulletin.com
Author: Kenneth Egan, Broker and Realtor Re/Max All Cities Realty
Similar scenarios throughout the country show RE market trends.Who will "blink" first is still a guess.
Kenneth Egan Posted January 11, 2007
Residential Real estate market still struggling
Analysis of: Homes Still Unaffordable For Many | articles.moneycentral.msn.com
Author: Kenneth Egan, Broker and Realtor Re/Max All Cities Realty
It is still too early to spot a positive trend.Affordability is a key ingredient to a turnaround, and affordability will not be reached until prices drop further.People are backing off spending 50% or more of their family income for housing.
Posted December 14, 2006
Inadequate Research and Definition of Industry Terms Belies Portrayal of SubPrime Borrowers
Analysis of: Subprime Borrowers are Falling Behind on Payment | www.wsj.com
Author: Maureen Bolton, Principal Global Capital Access
This article, which was published on the front page of the Wall Street Journal on December 5th, is a prime example of how lack of knowledge of an industry can lead to incorrect or unsubstantiated interpretation of market trends and data.The authors report that "Subprime" borrowers are increasingly...
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