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All GLG News Analyses Filed Under: Homebuilding

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Paul Burns Posted July 9, 2007
Housing market may be worse than stats reveal
Analysis of: How Low Will It Go? June 18, 2006 | www.bobbappraisals.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner City Investments
The pressure is intense for home owners, lenders, home builders and other investors to maintain housing values. Companies who provide financial and other services such as real estate brokers, appraisers and the like are dependent for their income on a steady to rising market. The home buyer on the other...
Posted July 3, 2007
Building a home in 2007: D.H. Horton CEO says 'it's going to suck'
Analysis of: Building a home in 2007: D.H. Horton CEO says 'it's going to suck' | www.recordonline.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
Soft markets, higher interest, glut of new homes.  Why should investors shell out millions when thousands will do? Technology has changed- so should we!  Each new home built needs construction documents.  Why not just pay for the Construction Docs and have a virtual home or development...
Posted June 15, 2007
NVR Seeks to Weather Downturn By Stockpiling Options to Build
Analysis of: NVR Seeks to Weather Downturn By Stockpiling Options to Build | www.washingtonpost.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
There is no doubt that homebuilding is well off its peak building year of 2005; however, smart builders such as NVR are well positioned to take advantage of opportunties that do exist in this current market to build market share. NVR's strategy of lot options allows a more flexible business plan that...
Posted June 12, 2007
WHEN WILL HOUSING RECOVER?
Analysis of: Housing Stocks Tumble on Higher Rates, Threat of Continued Price Declines | biz.yahoo.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer Technical Olympic USA Inc.
There is widespread interest in the housing industry, housing stocks and bonds, etc.  This impacts many industries and companies.  The article offers my point of view about the current state of the homebuilding industry and suggests when and why things will turn around. 
Paul Burns Posted June 11, 2007
The tipping point is here for residential prices
Analysis of: Landlords Push Tenants Out to Gentrify Units, Suit Says | pqasb.pqarchiver.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner City Investments
We’ve arrived at a crucial time in this cycle where foreclosures and defaults both existing and imminent throughout the country threaten to tip prices over to substantial market price reductions.
Ron Musolino Posted June 11, 2007
The Housing Market: Poised for a Sudden Reversal?
Analysis of: U.S.: Is The Housing Recession Starting To Recede? | www.businessweek.com
Author: Ron Musolino, President RM Consulting
April's new home sales data showed the largest monthly gain in 14 years.  Could this signal the start of the next housing boom?  Several negative factors indicate otherwise.
Posted June 4, 2007
Subprime Crisis? What Subprime Crisis?
Analysis of: Housing Boom 2.0 | money.cnn.com
Author: Maureen Bolton, Principal Global Capital Access
Thanks to the recent increase in subprime mortgage delinquencies and defaults, the media has finally divulged three of the lesser known US mortgage industry practices. 1) Credit scores are not (or should not be) the sole factor in categorizing borrowers as “prime” or subprime”. 2)Brokers are compensated...
Paul Burns Posted May 25, 2007
What is KB’s real motive/opportunity here?
Analysis of: KB to sell lucrative French subsidiary | www.latimes.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner City Investments
The consensus for the future as now laid forth for investors by the housing industry is that there can be no consensus currently. There just are too many variables to make a wise call guided by historical trends, it is said. And no one among the investors or the media today rises to dispute that forecast,...
Paul Burns Posted May 24, 2007
Don't be so sure because that's the way it went last time
Analysis of: O.C. Builder ‘optimistic’ about coastal homes | blogs.ocregister.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner City Investments
There are lessons to be learned here. The company whose CEO talks here about current market conditions has been the subject of one of the most long lasting and intensive series of legal maneuvers by several corporate successor entities regarding the development of acreage in California. Hardly a real...
Posted May 21, 2007
Home sales: Worst drop in 18 years
Analysis of: Home sales: Worst drop in 18 years | money.cnn.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
What are the "real issues" behind past and current real estate market fluxion in the U.S... Is there an obvious characteristic that lends to the delivery of potential failure? Are we willing to examine the grass roots of "hot spots" - that ultimately play a significant role in the ignition of the fires...
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