All GLG News Analyses Filed Under: Homebuilding

Centex is killing “two birds” with one stone

August 4, 2008

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:Centex To Implement Energy Efficiency Program In All Homes | money.cnn.com

Centex is moving forward in the right direction. Energy efficiency is the path to avert a global crisis.

Steve BottfeldPrincipalMarketing Solutions

LAS VEGAS ENTERS A "GOLDILOCKS" RECOVERY

July 22, 2008

Analysis of:NEW HOME SALES HOLD STEADY IN LAS VEGAS | www.lvrj.com

June's housing statistics suggest that the Las Vegas real estate market has entered a rolling "Goldilocks" recovery.  A rolling "Goldilocks" recovery is not hot.  It is not cold.  And, it may not be "just right" for everyone.    Rather, as the existing home market recovers, it will roll the new home market segment into recovery.   Those two market segments then "roll" the vertical market component into recovery. 

The Psychology of Home Buyers In A Down Market

July 14, 2008

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:New Article Suggestion | www.robinrgoins.com

Understanding the psychology of buyers can help those in the market better prepare and know how to appeal to that market. * Comfort Zones * Decision Making Processes * Psychology of Fear and Responses * Creating a Perspective of Hope Within the Market * The Psychology of Buyers versus Investors  

Centex going green for popularity and sales. Not because its the reponsible thing to do.

July 14, 2008

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:Centex To Implement Energy Efficiency Program In All Homes | money.cnn.com

- Centex scrapped cutting edge solar panel program in Naples Florida community last year due to expense. - This was after a hand shake agreement with local environmentalist Clyde Butcher to provide solar to Naples community in exchange for his endorsement. - A hand full of houses were completed with solar power panels. - Credit given by FPL on home owners electric bill for use of solar.    - FPL recently challenged on their investment in alternate energy sources as they have collected a large sum of money from their customers for this effort. - FPL's only investment to date was Centex community in Naples in which program was scrapped.

Tell Me Again How Housing Has "Bottomed Out".

July 2, 2008

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:KB Home’s Loss Widens as Inventory of Unsold Houses Mounts | online.wsj.com

The numbers reported by KB Homes are very similar to those reported by Lennar and other major, publicly-traded homebuilders. Sales are off drastically, contract cancellations continue to be problematic and losses are mounting. For the National Association of Realtors and other trade organizations, as well as some well-known analysts, to claim that we have seen the bottom of the housing market is both foolish and irresponsible.

Jim BelfiorePresidentBelfiore Real Estate Consulting

Pushing to the Bottom

July 1, 2008

Analysis of:KB Home’s Loss Widens as Inventory of Unsold Houses Mounts | online.wsj.com

Investors and market observers can count on continued homebuilder losses, as home prices a pushed downward further.

Pass the Buck

July 1, 2008

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:Building costs a headache for developers | uk.reuters.com

Life as a Developer has always been about who you know and what you know.Knowledge of building materials and cost are basic things developers need to survive. Things have changed a great deal the last 5-10 years. Most "new developers" and general contractors have never lifted a hammer or worn dirty work boots, that is a major shift and change from days past. The old model = work as a journeyman carpenter, brick mason or painter until you saved enough capital or work your way up is over. Experienced developers usually have relationships with material houses and subcontractors, those relationships take the guesswork out of building cost. Today's high cost of building material, energy and lack of talented subcontractors have totally changed the game for ever. The real question is how do small developers and builders survive this downturn with so many large REIT'S and Insurance Companies merging and dominating the marketplace?

John BurnsPresidentJOHN BURNS REAL ESTATE CONSULTING, INC.

Price Corrections Are Not As Bad As Reported

June 25, 2008

Analysis of:Home Prices Continue Sharp Descent | money.cnn.com

Home prices have indeed experienced significant corrections.  However, some reports of price reductions may be exaggerated due to innacurate methodology. 

Checks and Bounces er.. um.. Balances

June 19, 2008

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:Lessons From the Housing Bubble | online.wsj.com

1.) This was all perpetrated to encourage the debacle in the markets so as to create Sovereign Wealth Funds that have no reporting duties and can call all the unethical shots they want -  "Oil Crisis anyone". I bet I can name a few hundred people that had all their $$$ in stocks that supported the current oil campaign... 2.) We all saw it coming and still did nothing - You innocent bystanders, you... 3.) It's is a ploy to renege any fiduciary contracts on the rest of the World and to develop and introduce the "Amero", our new currency. If you don't believe it, then Google it.

Will We Act on What We've Learned from the Collapse of the Housing Bubble?

June 18, 2008

Analysis by: GLG Expert Contributor

Analysis of:Lessons From the Housing Bubble | online.wsj.com

Thsi WSJ article simply and clearly lays out the three key factors behind the current "housing crisis:"  financial engineering by Wall Street that increased risk, unconscionable enabling by rating agencies, and asleep-at-the-switch regulators.

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