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All GLG News Analyses Filed Under: Homebuilding

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Jim Belfiore Posted June 6, 2008
Phoenix Attached Projects in Trouble
Analysis of: $3.1M lien filed against condo developer | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
The question many looking from the outside-in may soon start asking is, “How many buyers are there for $300 / square foot to $800 / square foot housing in Phoenix?”  As the single-family market bottoms out, the answer will come.  Hopefully the timing is sooner rather than later.
Jim Belfiore Posted May 29, 2008
For Buyers with Income, Feelings are Problem, not Financing
Analysis of: Consumers Are Downbeat on Economy | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
An improvement in consumer sentiment will lead to an improvement in new home traffic and home sales, as well as an improvement in other areas of the economy.  Buyers that “feel” good make confident purchases.  Watch consumer sentiment and confidence indices, as well as BREC traffic count figures,...
Jim Belfiore Posted May 27, 2008
HOA Bankruptcies Coming
Analysis of: As Dues Dry Up, The Neighbors Pay | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
Rising costs and high delinquencies are pushing HOAs into bankruptcy.  Add HOA solvency to your underwriting checklist.
Howard Liggett Posted May 23, 2008
Connecticut Bucks National Trend of Inventory Overbuild
Analysis of: Housing Prices Going Lower | www.lvrj.com
Author: Howard Liggett, President and CEO Distressed Real Estate Consulting Services, Inc.
It easy to think nationally when reading of the foreclosure number increases;the glut of homes and the downward impact on price point when,in fact,there are many regions of the country that have not been as adversely affected by speculator development and inflated land values.  Connecticut...
Posted May 20, 2008
The Beginning of The Beginning: Las Vegas turning the Corner
Analysis of: Housing Prices Going Lower | www.lvrj.com
Author: Steve Bottfeld, Principal Marketing Solutions
To paraphrase Winston Churchill, April’s housing data for Las Vegas could be the “beginning of the beginning.”  undefined·      -----Prices of ALL new homes have reached a yearly high of $291,080 – just 9.3% below last April.  The price differential between 2008...
Kenneth Egan Posted April 28, 2008
Far From Over
Analysis of: Construction Companies Are Clamoring for Managers | online.wsj.com
Author: Kenneth Egan, Broker and Realtor Re/Max All Cities Realty
A year's worth of new home inventory remains unsold. Regional banks are reporting losses, because of regional builders excess inventory. With increasing foreclosures, and at current building levels, the issues remain. Large projects will be next. Poor sales at destination resorts will start to impact...
Posted April 24, 2008
ARE HOMEBUILDING STOCK PRICE INCREASES PREMATURE?
Analysis of: Construction Companies Are Clamoring for Managers | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Recently, stock prices of most public homebuilders have increased 20-30 percent.  This despite no visible signs of improvement in the overall housing industry.  It seems early in the cycle for these stock price upward movements, as it appears the housing market has not yet found bottom. ...
Posted April 24, 2008
IMPAIRMENT REVERSALS – IMPACT ON COST OF GOODS SOLD
Analysis of: New-Homes Supply Builds; Durable Goods Orders Slide | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Homebuilders have recorded large inventory impairments over the last couple of years.  Most of these impairments have been for land and lots.  As these previously impaired lots are built on and a completed home is delivered, the land component as a percentage of Cost of Goods Sold may decline...
Posted April 22, 2008
TURNING THE CORNER?
Analysis of: Study: Few can afford homes in LV | www.lvrj.com
Author: Steve Bottfeld, Principal Marketing Solutions
March Las Vegas housing results can best be described as mildly disappointing. Although prices remained relatively stable and inventory continued decline, surprisingly, sales did not improve significantly. Although sales did not increase in March, there is sufficient anecdotal evidence (increasing...
Jim Belfiore Posted April 10, 2008
Northeast Phoenix Woes: No Market for Desert Ridge?
Analysis of: Developers seek relief in state land deals | www.azcentral.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
The limited demand within Northeast Phoenix should come as no surprise to the State.  The deceleration in home sales has created a surplus of finished and planned lots.  Despite current market conditions, BREC anticipates the market area continuing to hold value better than most Valley submarkets...
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