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All GLG News Analyses Filed Under: Homebuilding

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Paul Burns Posted November 2, 2006
Some Thoughts About System-Built Housing In The West
Analysis of: Your Next Home: Custom or Modular? Factory-Assembled Homes Surpassing Stick-Built | www.consumeraffairs.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner City Investments
The difference in the product in today’s housing market in high volume states such as Arizona, California and Nevada is a matter of delivery and the local labor pool and the state of assembly when the structure is delivered to the building site.  Stick-Built production housing in major markets...
Jim Belfiore Posted November 2, 2006
A More Complete Analysis of Current Market Conditions
Analysis of: Prices of Houses Slip Again | www.azcentral.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
While the Arizona Republic quotes an economist from a respected local consulting firm and a housing analyst from Arizona State University, its Tuesday, September 13th "Prices of houses slip again" article misses the mark. As is the case all too often with newspaper and magazine articles, the data presented...
Jim Belfiore Posted November 1, 2006
Pressure will push Housing Prices Further South
Analysis of: Housing Decline Sparks Slowdown in Construction | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
As speculative new housing supply continues to increase and many builders face the pressure of year-end reporting, prices will be forced further downward.
Kenneth Egan Posted October 31, 2006
Construction Slowdown Will Continue
Analysis of: Big Homebuilders Slow Construction | www.bendbulletin.com
Author: Kenneth Egan, Broker and Realtor Re/Max All Cities Realty
The slowdown is just beginning.It would be simply a guess to predict the future.A soft landing is only a "maybe"
Jim Belfiore Posted October 27, 2006
Option Financing the most Interesting Story to Follow
Analysis of: Cooldown Catching up with Builders | www.azcentral.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
Those following home builders and the effect of option contract defaults should watch closely during the next few weeks.  Default notices are eminent for some of the big builders.
Paul Burns Posted October 27, 2006
Housing Stocks May Move Independently Of The Housing Market For The Short Term.
Analysis of: Builders' Shares Have Been Hot, Sparking Debate Among Investors | www.realestatejournal.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner City Investments
Securities investors seek trading profits in the short term based on indicators that are not always in keeping with the long term issues of the housing industry.  It may be that the latest move in the market is tied to the twin pillars of a stable discount rate and a fallback in oil prices. ...
Paul Burns Posted October 27, 2006
California’s Housing Problems Are Huge
Analysis of: Real estate boom was lowered in 2005 | www.dailynews.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner City Investments
The threat to California is that the growing supply of existing homes and the adjustable rate mortgages of the most recent active market will combine with the problems of the home builders to further accelerate foreclosure, deed-in-lieu or short sale activity.The way this thinking goes is that if lenders’...
Posted October 25, 2006
Supply of Homes on Market Takes Dip
Analysis of: Supply of Homes on Market Takes Dip | www.rismedia.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
Competition for tourist dollars provides other alternatives to relocation.Prices continue to reflect a cost to develop, without support growth at any cost.Speculation has moved on.This is what a buyers market looks like.
Posted October 24, 2006
Builders' Shares Have Been Hot, Sparking Debate Among Investors
Analysis of: Builders' Shares Have Been Hot, Sparking Debate Among Investors | www.realestatejournal.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
The article appropriately acknowledges the volatility of home builder stocks and accurately defines both sides of the debate.  Just because the stocks have been showing some upward movement supported by a few improving numbers doesn't mean that the builders have reached a bottom.  The builders...
Posted October 17, 2006
Existing-Home Sales Decline As Prices Fall, Inventories Rise
Analysis of: Existing-Home Sales Decline As Prices Fall, Inventories Rise | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
News Media over-hypes the so-called downturn in the real estate market - this gets readers, viewers, etc. and sells more papers.There is no basis for a falling market as job growth and the economy are good.Interest rates have been declining over the past thirteen weeks.
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