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All GLG News Analyses Filed Under: Financial Forecasting & Analysis

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Robert Kemp Posted September 13, 2007
The Auto Industry - It's Simple Risk and Return Regarding Health Care Issues
Analysis of: UAW Talks Get Push | online.wsj.com
Author: Robert Kemp, Professor University of Virginia - CC
US auto manufacturers face a huge dilemma.  To be competitive with Toyota and other non-US auto manufacturers, they must lower health care costs and unfunded liabilities.  (This is well documented in the referenced article.)  What is interesting is the impact on value from both the...
Posted September 5, 2007
Another step to become world biggest company for ICBC
Analysis of: ICBC to buy 80% stake in Seng Heng Bank | www.ft.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
1)over liquidity in banking system forced ICBC to look for high profit investment elsewhere. 2)Seng Heng Bank will profitable from the Macao booming of property and gaming business. 3)Seng Heng Bank holds the valuable accounts of the wealthy individuals in Macao. 4)China has to let the capital out to...
Robert Kemp Posted September 4, 2007
Pensions - Management is responding to economic realities
Analysis of: Rank to consider sale of its pension scheme | news.yahoo.com
Author: Robert Kemp, Professor University of Virginia - CC
The key implications of Rank Group's actions are threefold. First, it is harder for companies to borrow from employees with off balance sheet pension schemes.  Disclosure requirements have increased (i.e., FASB). Second, pensions have always been a too-often neglected risk dimension in corporate...
Robert Kemp Posted August 31, 2007
The Need to Balance Return and Risk: Wake Up Call for Pension Funds
Analysis of: Pension Fund Managers Rethink Their Love of Hedge Funds | online.wsj.com
Author: Robert Kemp, Professor University of Virginia - CC
Too often the managers of pension funds use an objective of maximizing return.  However in doing so, they neglect risk.  In the volatile markets of today, the focus on returns, while neglecting risk, is causing problems.  It's time to stake a step back and rethink the management...
Posted August 22, 2007
China should worry about over development and corruption instead of inflation
Analysis of: China's Worrisome Inflation Data | www.businessweek.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
China investors move from food production to property development and share market. Reduce money supply in the financial system by increase interest rate, forming national trust fund and promote health insurance. Give incentive to food production and limit the property development in farm area....
Posted August 22, 2007
Industrial Bank carefully follow the loan growth trend
Analysis of: Industrial Bank Plans Record $6.5 Billion Bond Sale | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
Industrial Bank take more caution way to rise funding by issued bond. Industrial Bank increase branches by acquisition of small bank and joint venture with foreign bank. China will approve Industrial Bank's bond to prevent overheat of the share market. The prudence way of operation make Industrial Bank...
Posted August 17, 2007
Quants and LBO down, who first and who later.
Analysis of: Did 'Quants' Miss the Boat On LBO Boom? | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
Quant funds same with LBO which both needs high leverage credit to support. Targeted companies tend to window dressing their accounts to attract high price take over. LBO not involve real money but instead of obtain credit from banking system will dry out the liquidity of the system.
Posted August 10, 2007
World biggest company, in China?
Analysis of: ICBC Has Record Gain in Shanghai, Closes on Microsoft | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd., the fourth biggest company. without international funds, Chinese savings equal to $1,692  per person dump into share market. China government cut tax and increase trading charges to slow down the market. the demand for loans push the industrial and...
Posted August 9, 2007
The rise of agricultural banks in China, how real is that?
Analysis of: Agricultural Bank of China 1st-Half Profit Rises 65% | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
Agricultural Bank of China, rise tremendously in operating profit and and operating income  in 1st half of 2007. Agricultural Bank of China increase loan to reduce bad loan ratio  for seek a bailout by the government. China's government push banks to slow the credit in...
Posted August 9, 2007
Develop long-short trade views on companies in the mortgage sector analyzing interest rate shocks to their recently reported financial statements
Analysis of: TheStreet.com TV Recap: Sorting Through the Subprime Slaughter | www.thestreet.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
We quantify mortgage portfolio value changes due to interest rate changes over the last quarter. Dissect the balance sheets of institutions engaged in this business and their last-reported financial statements using these simple tools, and you can easily arrive at some profitable trade ideas in the...
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