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All GLG News Analyses Filed Under: Financial Forecasting & Analysis

Analyses are solely the work of the authors and have not been edited or endorsed by GLG.

Good and Bad JAL : selling the Crown Jewels -part 2-

October 15, 2009

 Task force floats debt plan for JAL | www.ft.com

Key problem is shareholder's pain tolerance level.

Japan Air Line (JAL) a Japanese GM or long-term investment opportunity?

October 4, 2009

 JAL calls for funding help from Tokyo | www.ft.com

JAL has been said to be a potential Japanese GM; does the comparison stand out?

It’s Being Done!!!

August 22, 2009

 A need to reconnect | www.ft.com

The current financial mess was created by a group of bumptious individuals. We can’t continue to do business as usual or hide our heads in the sand hoping it will go away by itself. Or, allow the individuals that propagated the mess to correct it or create a new disaster.

De Beers Finances - The Dangers of EBITDA

August 17, 2009

 De Beers Finances, Contd. | www.jckonline.com

To rely on EBITA and highlight it to one's shareholders/bankers is at best misguided, at worst misleading.

Louis Buchman, Partner

Louis BuchmanPartnerFIELD FISHER WATERHOUSE What is a GLG Leader?|GLG Leaders are a separate tier of Council Members with a Council Rank in the top 5%. These GLG Member Program participants are eligible for ongoing, in-depth consultative relationships with GLG clients.

EADS Insider Trading: Are Lagardère and Daimler scott-free?

August 5, 2009

 Lagardère and Daimler not implicated in the EADS investigation | www.agefi.fr

Insider trading in France is a felony giving rise to 2 possible actions, one at the Financial Markets watchdog agency level (AMF), the other in court. Case law is scarce but precedents exist. The outcome of the AMF action will not mean the end of the criminal investigation phase, and has no directbearing...

Stressed Value-at-Risk To Be Required by the Revised Basel II Capital Framework

August 1, 2009

 Basel II capital framework enhancements announced by the Basel Committee | www.bis.org

The global economic crisis of 2007-8 and the resulting unexpected massive losses suffered by financial institutions prove that standard Value-at-Risk (VaR) calculations seriously underestimate true market risk. In an attempt to address the shortcomings of the current VaR methodology, the Basel II Committee...

China Replaces US as Brazil's Top Trading Partner: Bad News for Some Global Logistics Players

May 14, 2009

 Could Latin America Recover Sooner than Advanced Economies | www.vimay-group.com

Latest data from Brazil's development, industry and trade ministry (MDIC) confirm that China has replaced the US as Brazil's top export destination.  Will this latest international trade trend help or hurt the global logistics market? 

Latin America with good forecasts of the International Monetary Fund

May 8, 2009

 Could Latin America Recover Sooner than Advanced Economies | www.vimay-group.com

It seems after the international financial crisis the IMF has changed its vision for some Latin American countries.

Chinese Stimulus Package Will Result in Massive Bad Loans

April 13, 2009

 Financial Times: Beijing to tighten controls on credit | www.ft.com

The Chinese government's stimulus package has resulted in three quarters of a trillion dollars worth of loans in the first quarter alone. The speed and destination of these loans will result in massive write off further weakening the Chinese financial system

This level of debt will destroy this nation and perhaps cascade to the rest of the world.

April 5, 2009

 The President is keeping score. | online.wsj.com

1. The equivalent of 27 trillion dollars circulates world wide. 2. The current U. S. Debt is: $11,124,519,301,253.21 as of 3 April, 2009. 3. This means in five years the debt will be $22,249,038,602,506.42 4. If tripled it becomes: $33,373,557,903,759.63 5. This does not include the unfunded mandates...

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