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All GLG News Analyses Filed Under: Economics

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Peter Dehnen Posted August 7, 2007
Porsche bids for Volkswagen but has no intentions
Analysis of: Porsche's public takeover bid for VW fails | auto.blogiezt.com
Author: Peter Dehnen, Partner Dehnen.Lawyers
Porsche made an offer to buy the shares which it does not already own in Volkswagen AG at a price lower than the current stock exchange rate. This offer has not been successful – and Porsche is pleased with this result. This analysis shows, why that is.
Posted August 1, 2007
Crude Oil Prices and the US Economy
Analysis of: High Crude Oil Prices and the US Economy | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
It is important to know how the nature of current oil price increases are different from previous oil price shocks. That difference feeds into the longer-term oil price scenario. While crude oil prices have risen substantially since 2003, they don't seem to quite affect the US economy to the extent...
Posted August 1, 2007
safety Fee on Imported Food Is a Good Idea
Analysis of: Bill Would Impose Fee On Some Food Imports | www.washingtonpost.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
1. Fee on applicable food import will increase the effective rate of tariff. US needs to make sure that this does not invite retaliatory tariff increases on its exports to the country in question. 2. FDA needs to examine how funds derived from the fees can be most effectively utilized. For instance,...
Posted July 30, 2007
The US economy in 2007: The case for a soft landing
Analysis of: Fears Intensify on Economy, Despite Growth | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
While significant risks for a hard landing (with output contracting well below the potential rate of growth) exists, judicious macroeconomic management by the Treasury and the Federal Reserve may avert it. This article looks at some of the options open to regulatory agencies. The WSJ article...
Posted July 16, 2007
One Step Forward, Two Steps Back
Analysis of: Bill Would Impose Fee On Some Food Imports | www.washingtonpost.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
This bill proposes a bandaid which will provide some improvement over the present inspection situation but fails to address the fact that food and drugs need to be separatated and the food portion of the inspection process placed under the USDA which has already established its competency and ability...
Posted July 13, 2007
US housing slump and the effect on US and the world.
Analysis of: US housing slowdown weighs on retailers | www.ft.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
Retail Housing Sales data are really important   to predict future of the US economy in terms of  recession or growth, and also to predict about the US financial market future behaviour  in terms of movements of the prices of dollar, long term bond yields etc.It appares that the...
Posted July 12, 2007
Housing as an indicator of economic slowdown.
Analysis of: US housing slowdown weighs on retailers | www.ft.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
Housing has lead the economy of the US into recession and back out on a historical basis. Record numbers of foreclosures and a drop in housing sales indicates that the economy is in a recession and visible unsold supply is growing. This type of downturn will require some incentives to create an atmosphere...
Posted July 9, 2007
The UAW-Dana Retiree Health Insurance VEBA: Implications for the U.S. Auto Industry Bargaining
Analysis of: U.A.W. Pact With Dana Signals Softer Stance, New York Times, July 7, 2007 | www.nytimes.com
Author: Richard Block, Professor Michigan State University
The UAW is willing to consider innovative ways to address health insurance retirees, including the creation of a VEBA.  But it is also appears that the UAW is interested in seeing investment in the company as the price of its agreement.  The UAW seems to be using the financial difficulties...
Posted July 2, 2007
Chavez vs. Oil
Analysis of: 2 Oil Firms Are Defiant in Venezuela | www.nytimes.com
Author: GLG Member Program Contributor
Mr. Chavez is presenting the USA and Oil big businesses as enemies of the Venezuelan people He is following on the tracks of his mentor Fidel Castro, whoever knows Cuban history will foresee what is coming in Venezuela Oil companies remaining in Venezuela will soon field the intimidation, attacks and...
Peter Dehnen Posted June 28, 2007
Siemens’ past, presence and future
Analysis of: Siemens Boss To Step Down | www.forbes.com
Author: Peter Dehnen, Partner Dehnen.Lawyers
A CEO presents great financial figures – and has to step down. Unthinkable? Well, not really as you will find out while reading this analysis. Siemens, one of Europe’s largest engineering companies, has been hit by a series of corruption scandals in recent months revolving around the payment by some...
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