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All GLG News Analyses Filed Under: Commercial Market Trends

Analyses are solely the work of the authors and have not been edited or endorsed by GLG.

Kenneth Egan, Broker and Realtor

Kenneth EganBroker and RealtorRe/Max All Cities Realty What is a GLG Leader?|GLG Leaders are a separate tier of Council Members with a Council Rank in the top 5%. These GLG Member Program participants are eligible for ongoing, in-depth consultative relationships with GLG clients.

The saga continues !

April 28, 2009

Opus South Files Chapter 11 | www.globest.com

The worsening of the economy is far from over. While the commercial sector is the next debacle, destination resorts, golf communities and others will follow. Residential prices will continue to fall.

Robert Canter, President-Founder

Robert CanterPresident-FounderPerformance Realty Solutions, LLC What is a GLG Leader?|GLG Leaders are a separate tier of Council Members with a Council Rank in the top 5%. These GLG Member Program participants are eligible for ongoing, in-depth consultative relationships with GLG clients.

How and why the mighty are falling

April 28, 2009

Opus South Files Chapter 11 | www.globest.com

The fact that a well respected usually conservative developer has filed for Chapter 11 protection under the Bankruptcy Code is another chilling example of just how far and deep this economic downturn has affected every corner of the commercial real estate sector.  

Sam Chandan, Adjunct Professor

Sam ChandanAdjunct ProfessorUniversity of Pennsylvania - CC What is a GLG Leader?|GLG Leaders are a separate tier of Council Members with a Council Rank in the top 5%. These GLG Member Program participants are eligible for ongoing, in-depth consultative relationships with GLG clients.

The Bankruptcy of GGP and the Prognosis for Retail REIT Debt Management

April 27, 2009

Mall operator General Growth Properties files for bankruptcy protection | www.dallasnews.com

As in the case of GGP’s bankruptcy, debt structure issues will dominate amongst REIT default drivers over the course of the commercial real estate market adjustment. Defaults will exert downward pressure on property prices but will also facilitate an increase in transaction volumes by forcing sellers’ prices to meet buyers’ expectation of adjustments.  Weakening fundamentals will coincide with debt-related distress during the process of price adjustment. Occupancy within GGP’s mall portfolio fell by a relatively modest 130 basis points between year-end 2007 and 2008. But a combination of bankruptcies, a drop in renewal rates on expiring leases, and violations of co-tenancy covenants will undercut mall fundamentals to a greater degree in 2009 than was observed in 2008.  Going forward, the effective operation and management of space will prove to be of critical importance for REITs with lower leverage.

Robert Canter, President-Founder

Robert CanterPresident-FounderPerformance Realty Solutions, LLC What is a GLG Leader?|GLG Leaders are a separate tier of Council Members with a Council Rank in the top 5%. These GLG Member Program participants are eligible for ongoing, in-depth consultative relationships with GLG clients.

Office vacancy must mean different things to different people.

April 7, 2009

U.S. Office Vacancies Hit 15.2% -- and Rising | online.wsj.com

When Office Vacancy supply is being dumped on the market from layoffs rather than from over building, isn’t it the same set of dire circumstances the market has to deal with. Isn't vacancy just that vacancy? Of ocurse it is!

The Philippines property market declines but some areas still strong

April 3, 2009

GLG Expert Contributor

Crisis curbs demand for high-end property | business.inquirer.net

The country's largest property developer, Ayala Land Inc. (ALI), gives its views on the current state of the country's residential and other real estate markets. This should give a good view of the present as well as upcoming real estate situation in the Philippines.

The Philippines property market declines but some areas still strong

April 3, 2009

GLG Expert Contributor

Crisis curbs demand for high-end property | business.inquirer.net

The country's largest property developer, Ayala Land Inc. (ALI), gives its views on the current state of the country's residential and other real estate markets. This should give a good view of the present as well as upcoming real estate situation in the Philippines.

Kenneth Leonard, Principal

Kenneth LeonardPrincipalLeonard Associates What is a GLG Leader?|GLG Leaders are a separate tier of Council Members with a Council Rank in the top 5%. These GLG Member Program participants are eligible for ongoing, in-depth consultative relationships with GLG clients.

Soros is Predicting Yesterday's Weather

March 31, 2009

Soros Says Commercial Property Values Will Fall 30% | www.bloomberg.com

While the article does have some limited value to the GLG reader, it is comprised mostly of contradictory information and old news. I think it is important for the GLG reader to understand the basics of value for commercial real estate and not just respond to the pleadings of the most aggressive and highly leveraged investors who are lobbying the government for a bailout.

Gavin Campbell, Managing Principal

Gavin CampbellManaging PrincipalSteelbridge Capital LLC What is a GLG Leader?|GLG Leaders are a separate tier of Council Members with a Council Rank in the top 5%. These GLG Member Program participants are eligible for ongoing, in-depth consultative relationships with GLG clients.

Value, Like Beauty, is in the Eye of the Lender

March 31, 2009

Soros Says Commercial Property Values Will Fall 30% | www.bloomberg.com

Commercial real estate values have dropped to a point where owners generally aren't sellers, so realized transaction pricing has not followed the value drop. But lenders will force transactions on overleveraged or defaulting assets in due course.  But, depending on the product type and geography, the pricing and value implications of this will vary dramatically.

John Kilpatrick, Chief Executive Officer

John KilpatrickChief Executive OfficerGREENFIELD ADVISORS What is a GLG Educator?|GLG Educators have qualified for GLG Member Programs and are therefore eligible to participate in ongoing in-depth consulting projects with GLG clients.

Better organizations actually stand to benefit

March 30, 2009

World respected property organisation falls victim to the economic downturn | www.propertywire.com

RICS and other similar organizations are actually in a position to benefit from the current restructuring, if they use this opportunity wisely.

Robert Canter, President-Founder

Robert CanterPresident-FounderPerformance Realty Solutions, LLC What is a GLG Leader?|GLG Leaders are a separate tier of Council Members with a Council Rank in the top 5%. These GLG Member Program participants are eligible for ongoing, in-depth consultative relationships with GLG clients.

The Reality of the Commercial Real Estate Market

March 27, 2009

Commercial Property Faces Crisis | online.wsj.com

The commercial real estate market is heading towards one of the worst crisis’ it has ever experienced. As the article empirically demonstrates there is no other conclusion that can be drawn.

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