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September 20, 2007Low Loan Loss Reserves at Banks Could Cause Problems Ahead
Analysis of: E*Trade Hit By Mortgage Turmoil | online.wsj.com
Author: Raj Mehra, President & Founder, Chelsea Advisory Services
Loan loss reserves at banks are at historic lows. At the same time, the credit cycle has turned viciously negative, particularly for mortgages. Banking regulators are likely to ratchet the pressure up on banks to raise their loss reserves. The most vulnerable are banks with outsized exposure to the...
September 17, 2007
Salaries and Bonuses for Investment Risk Professionals
Analysis of: Bigger bonuses approved for Texas Retirement System investment staff | www.statesman.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Analysis of: Bigger bonuses approved for Texas Retirement System investment staff | www.statesman.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
1. The need for talented pension risk managers is growing. 2. Demand is starting to quickly outweigh supply and driving up wages as a result. 3. Pension investment returns and related strategy must consider the cost of attracting and retaining talented risk managers.
September 17, 2007
Can the Pension World Learn Something from Ayn Rand?
Analysis of: Ayn Rand's Literature of Capitalism | www.nytimes.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Analysis of: Ayn Rand's Literature of Capitalism | www.nytimes.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
1. How can plan sponsors embrace best practices if proper economic incentives are not in place? 2. What are the ills of excessive regulation with respect to commercial risk-taking? 3. Is there a role for bold leadership on the part of plan sponsors?
September 11, 2007
New IRS Form Mandates Governance Disclosures for Non Profits - What About Pensions?
Analysis of: Form 990 and Pension Protection Act Mandate | www.expertclick.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Analysis of: Form 990 and Pension Protection Act Mandate | www.expertclick.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
1. Investors must be aware of who and how decisions are made by plan sponsors. 2. A bad or incomplete decision about employee benefits could cost big money and drive share price downward. Fiduciary risk has economic impact.
September 10, 2007
LDI Costs Go Up for Plan Sponsors as LIBOR Soars
Analysis of: The Economics of Nuclear Power | www.uic.com.au
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Analysis of: The Economics of Nuclear Power | www.uic.com.au
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
1. Liability-driven investing has another cost in the form of higher short-term rates. 2. LIBOR has been moving away from the Fed. Funds rate. 3. Central bankers may have a tougher time keeping market volatility in check. That adversely impacts pension plan financial health.
September 10, 2007Countrywide Spells Out Its Strategy to Manage Credit Market Crisis
Analysis of: Countrywide Communicates Staff Reductions to Employees | online.wsj.com
Author: Raj Mehra, President & Founder, Chelsea Advisory Services
Countywide's announcement late last Friday and Angelo Mozilo's letter to employees provide a unique window into CFC's strategy for addressing the impact of the credit crisis on its business. The letter provides details on the steps that CFC is taking to shelter itself from the fallout. Unfortunately,...
September 6, 2007
Pension Investment Risk Disclosure - What Don't You Know?
Analysis of: The Economics of Nuclear Power | www.uic.com.au
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Analysis of: The Economics of Nuclear Power | www.uic.com.au
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
1. Understanding a plan sponsor's investment risk exposure is necessary but not sufficient. 2. Plan participants, corporate investors and lenders all need to know whether pension investment risk could create financial problems. 3. There is limited information currently available. A move by FASB to require...
September 5, 2007Writedowns of Retained Interests Could be Next Shoe to Drop for Subprime Lenders
Analysis of: NovaStar to Slash Lending and Cut Jobs | www.nytimes.com
Author: Raj Mehra, President & Founder, Chelsea Advisory Services
Retained interests from securitizations made up more than 75% of the shareholder's equity at NFI. Also, the company has elected to finance these securities. Demand, never very strong to begin with, has deteriorated severely in the last month. The company could be forced to recognize a sizeable...
September 4, 2007
Wall Street May Be in for a Rude Awakening
Analysis of: Can Pension Clients be Hazardous to Your Financial Health? | www.mannpublications.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Analysis of: Can Pension Clients be Hazardous to Your Financial Health? | www.mannpublications.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
1. Service providers who do not consider their implicit or explicit fiduciary status vis-a-vis public or corporate pension plans could find themselves in the litigation cross hairs. 2. Pension litigation is skyrocketing with fiduciary breach allegations leading the way.
August 27, 2007Thoughts on the impact on third quarter earnings from the crisis in subprime mortgages
Analysis of: Bank Profits May Well Suffer, but Credit Crisis Hardly Leaves Them Defenseless | www.nytimes.com
Author: Raj Mehra, President & Founder, Chelsea Advisory Services
Several banks will be closing their third quarter soon. The credit crisis intensified in the third quarter - what impact should we expect to see from the bankruptcies, plummeting market values, the virtual demise of the collateralized debt obligations market etc. - Some banks will write down goodwill...
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