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October 7, 2008AT&T Re-org Likely to Be Part of Eventual Shift to FTTH Emphasis
Analysis of: In Shake-Up, AT&T Gives Wireless Chief Broader Role | online.wsj.com
Author: Samuel Greenholtz, Principal, Telecom Pragmatics
1. There could easily be another reason for AT&T “putting wireless chief Ralph de la Vega in charge of all consumer offerings...[than] to better coordinate marketing of landline and mobile services...”
2. It has been long known that...
October 7, 2008Telecom Should be Safe Port to Ride Out Economic Storm
Analysis of: Recession Expected to Hit Telecom in Second Half | www.xchangemag.com
Author: Samuel Greenholtz, Principal, Telecom Pragmatics
1. Despite the economic downturn, the overall telecom services business in the US continues to remain rather good.
2. While residential building has taken a hard hit, the performance numbers at the three major service providers have stayed fairly strong – especially at AT&T and Verizon.
3....
October 7, 2008Incumbency Will Be Major Factor For Niche Suppliers in Troubled Market
Analysis of: Market Meltdown: Equipment, Software Vendors to Suffer Most | www.phoneplusmag.com
Author: Samuel Greenholtz, Principal, Telecom Pragmatics
Incumbency will be critical in whether vendors win or lose during the downturn in the US telecom market.
R&D and service programs will suffer the most.
If layoffs occur at one of these suppliers, instead of getting rid of the most experienced employees, the company should try
as much as...
September 29, 2008Nortel’s Damaged Brand Name is the All-Important Factor
Analysis of: Deconstructing Nortel, a former icon | www.canada.com
Author: Samuel Greenholtz, Principal, Telecom Pragmatics
1. A very long time ago, Nortel was considered one of the premier corporations in the world. 2. The company was able to coast along just on its reputation and presence despite a record of limited innovation. 3. ...
September 29, 2008Nortel’s CO Installed Base is Still its Most Valuable Asset
Analysis of: Nortel 4G Plans Up in the Air | www.unstrung.com
Author: Samuel Greenholtz, Principal, Telecom Pragmatics
1. In its revised outlook, the term “DMS” was not mentioned one time. 2. At least there was recognition by Nortel that carrier VoIP is closely related to its heritage. 3. It is reasonable to assume that wireless...
September 29, 2008ADC Makes Dramatic Comeback at AT&T at CommScope’s Expense
Analysis of: ADC is Party-Neutral Supplier of Fiber Connectivity Solutions at Democratic and Republican National Convention Sites | www.marketwatch.com
Author: Samuel Greenholtz, Principal, Telecom Pragmatics
1. Everything indicated that CommScope was poised to totally take over AT&T’s connector business.
2. It seemed only a matter of time when ADC was going to lose the entire account.
3. To its credit, ADC,...
September 29, 2008Disappointing Turnout at FTTH Conference Could Signify Temporary Lull in Market
Analysis of: IS FIBER'S ROSE STILL BLOOMING? | telephonyonline.com
Author: Samuel Greenholtz, Principal, Telecom Pragmatics
1. The number of people actually attending the just concluded FTTH Conference was at least 40 percent lower than the original estimates. 2. Perhaps a big part of the problem is that there really have not been any dramatic changes in the fiber...
September 29, 2008The Liberation of Ciena Must Begin Now
Analysis of: Ciena Corp: No Longer A Value Play | seekingalpha.com
Author: Samuel Greenholtz, Principal, Telecom Pragmatics
1. Fundamental “values” must be place in order to ensure a “value play.”
2. Totally straight-shooting from the top leadership at Ciena has been lacking for a good number of years.
3. A much higher level...
September 29, 2008RBOCs Should Encourage Fujitsu to Rescue Ciena
Analysis of: Sprint Picks Ciena | www.unstrung.com
Author: Samuel Greenholtz, Principal, Telecom Pragmatics
1. While on paper, a Tellabs-Ciena merger would make a lot of sense, one problem is the deep cultural differences between the two suppliers.
2. The earlier proposed merger between Tellabs and Ciena had a different CEO at the helm of the...
September 22, 2008Distress at Financial Institutions Likely to Affect Verizon CAPEX
Analysis of: Verizon virtualizes data centers | telephonyonline.com
Author: Samuel Greenholtz, Principal, Telecom Pragmatics
1. The concern level over the enterprise business has reached a higher level at Verizon as major financial firms are struggling.
2. There is greater amount of concern over the possibility of a major crimp on commercial spending.
3. ...
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