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Jack SayerSeptember 5, 2008
August Auto Sales Were Awful----But At Least It Wasn't July
Analysis of: Auto Sales Tumble, But Industry Sees Signs of Hope | online.wsj.com
Author: Jack Sayer, Managing Partner, Sayer Partners LLC
The summer of 2008 with its monthly dose of double-digit sales declines is over. But will autumn be any better? Maybe.
Jack SayerSeptember 3, 2008
Let The Detroit Three Bail Themselves Out---They Created The Mess The're In
Analysis of: Carmakers Deserve Loan Guarantees, G.M. Official Says | www.nytimes.com
Author: Jack Sayer, Managing Partner, Sayer Partners LLC
Even with strings attached, any help the Federal Government gives to the Detroit Three, will usher in the most demanding, meddlesome period of U.S. federal involvement in the affairs of Detroit's automotive community in its history 
John JukoskiSeptember 3, 2008
This is a synthetic market.
Analysis of: Bank Debt Risk Rises as Writedowns, Losses Exceed $500 Billion | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
Let me be brief.  This is a synthetic market that allows participants to express their sentiments (wager) without participating in the cash market.  Beware reading too much into the levels at which items trade in any synthetic market.
John JukoskiSeptember 3, 2008
Quality, not Quantity
Analysis of: Lenders reject multiple credit applications | www.guardian.co.uk
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
Borrowers are finding it more difficult to obtain credit because lenders have a renewed awareness of the basics of extending credit, not because borrowers are requesting credit more often.
Jack SayerSeptember 2, 2008
If Toyota's Hurting, You Know It's A Bad Year For Auto Sales
Analysis of: Toyota Pulls Back on Sales Goal | online.wsj.com
Author: Jack Sayer, Managing Partner, Sayer Partners LLC
Toyota Motor Corp. sees North American sales coming in at 2.70 million units in 2008 and languishing at the same level in 2009. By contrast, the Toyota group sold 2.83 million units in North America last year.
Jack SayerSeptember 1, 2008
Turns Out GM's Employee Discount Isn't For "Everyone" As The Ads Say
Analysis of: GM Sues to Recoup $450K in Employee Discounts | www.forbes.com
Author: Jack Sayer, Managing Partner, Sayer Partners LLC
The automaker, last week in a last ditch attempt to salvage sales for the month of August, announced an "Employee Discount" for everyone, not just bona-fide employees.
Jack SayerSeptember 1, 2008
How Did Nissan Achieve Their July Sales Bump? They Bought And Paid For It
Analysis of: U.S. Auto Sales on Track For Another Monthly Drop | online.wsj.com
Author: Jack Sayer, Managing Partner, Sayer Partners LLC
Domestic auto sales are expected to drop over 14% when August sales results are announced on Wednesday. Last month industry observers marveled that Nissan was the only one of the Big 6 automakers that showed a sales increase. How did they do it? They bought and paid for it.
September 1, 2008
Commerzbank - Dresdner Bank Merger - Compelling despite the Risks?
Analysis of: Commerzbank Plans to Sell Linde Stake, Manager-Magazin Reports | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The Commerzbank - Dresdner Bank merger is compelling for all stakeholders. Without the successful completion of this deal, Commerzbank will itself likely become a takenover target. It cannot be in the long-term interest of the Federal Republic of Germany for its financial economy to be wholly managed...
August 28, 2008
Not All Credit Inquiries Are Created Equal
Analysis of: Lenders reject multiple credit applications | www.guardian.co.uk
Author: Richard Van Leeuwen, Former EVP, Chief Risk Officer, Ford Motor Credit Company
The current environment affords lenders an opportunity to attain good margins on new business contracted.  Therefore, it would be a bad decision to pass business simply because the applicant has a number of recent inquiries in his credit bureau report.  More discrimination...
Jack SayerAugust 26, 2008
Let's Take Another Look At One Of GM's Missguided Moves
Analysis of: General Motors pulls sponsorship of Oscars | www.msnbc.msn.com
Author: Jack Sayer, Managing Partner, Sayer Partners LLC
How GM and Ford were ever able to raise money through bond offerings over the years remains a mystery to me. Consider some recent announcements.   August 5, 2008: "Default Risk At Ford, GM, Chrysler hits 95%; Automakers Ask for Taxpayer Handout."   August 4: "Auto Sales Dismal At All Three...

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