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GLG News by Sub-Prime Lending Experts

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September 12, 2008
ARS class actions have no class
Analysis of: ARS collapse giving rise to class-action lawsuits | www.financialweek.com
Author: Duncan MacDonald, Consultant, Duncan McDonald
It should be no surprise that the subprime/ARS collapse has generated waves of class action lawsuits by shareholders.  And that they appear to have merit.  But that doesn't mean courts will give the plaintiffs the WMD of a class action status.  Ten years ago that would have been...
September 12, 2008
What to expect from the bailout.
Analysis of: U.S. bails out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, ousts CEOs | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Joseph Smith, President & CEO, Default Mitigation Management
1. Shows how truly bad the mortgage industry has gotten and how scared the feds are of where we are going. 2. If the major source of liquidity can not survive, who will? 3. What should be the outcome.
Jack SayerSeptember 11, 2008
What Does Honda Know, That the Rest Of The Automakers Don't?
Analysis of: Honda: China August Sales Up 19.4% | online.wsj.com
Author: Jack Sayer, Managing Partner, Sayer Partners LLC
While the rest of the auto industry suffers through the worst year in three decades in the U.S. and declining sales in other markets, Honda seems to have found the "magic bullet. What is it?
September 11, 2008
GSE Takeover Will Not Materially Reduce Mortgage Interest Rates
Analysis of: Government GSE Takeover Could Reduce Cost of Mortgages | www.bigbuilderonline.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The GSE takeover will not significantly reduce mortgage interest rates.  The GSEs will now be focused on propping up the U.S. economy--not on prudent lending and risk-based pricing.
John JukoskiSeptember 11, 2008
Good Idea, Wrong Justification
Analysis of: Lehman Brothers faces Korean takeover bid | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
KDB in this case is playing the role of the blind squirrel who finds a nut.  It is wise to invest opportunistically, in ventures that are cheap, WHEN YOU UNDERSTAND THAT YOU ARE NOT KNOWLEDGEBLE IN HOW TO RUN THESE BUSINESSES. 
John JukoskiSeptember 11, 2008
Credit vs. Collateral
Analysis of: ECB `Overpricing' of Asset-Backed Debt May Shut Out Investors | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
The question to answer here is whether or not the ECB is a collateral-based lender.
John JukoskiSeptember 11, 2008
Markets can function regardless of the ECB's actions
Analysis of: ECB to Change Auction Rules to Stop Banks `Gaming the System,' Mersch Says | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
The fact the ECB might accept securities other central banks (or private lenders) might not is not preventing the market for these securities to correct.  Pledging securities to a collateralized lender will not affect the ability to sell these securities when the opportunity presents itself.
September 10, 2008
DoJ brief in telecommunications case might help bankcard interchange defense
Analysis of: DoJ brief in telecommunications case might undermine merchant claims against bankcard industry | www.usdoj.gov
Author: Duncan MacDonald, Consultant, Duncan McDonald
The DoJ amicus brief to the Supreme Court in a telecommunications case hints at a more relaxed view about the applicability of antitrust law to pricing decisions by regulated companies.  A key accusation in the bankcard interchange cases is that competing regulated banks on Visa...
September 10, 2008
Will the new DoJ antitrust guidelines tip the scales to favor Visa & MasterCard?
Analysis of: DoJ's new antitrust guidelines meaning for bankcard industry | www.usdoj.gov
Author: Duncan MacDonald, Consultant, Duncan McDonald
The new DoJ antitrust guidelines significantly water down monopoly, per se liability, competition and tie-in standards that have propelled government enforcement and private lawsuits by retailers in recent years against Visa, MasterCard and their issuers.  Undoubtedly, the defendants will point...
Jack SayerSeptember 9, 2008
Automakers Offer More Incentives------Consumers Still Staying Away.
Analysis of: Sales Slump In Luxury Car Segment And Auto Makers Offer Deals | online.wsj.com
Author: Jack Sayer, Managing Partner, Sayer Partners LLC
 Despite dramatic increases in incentive spending, U.S. auto sales tumbled for the 10th straight month. Incentives on slow-selling trucks and SUVs and GM's employee pricing promotion failed to ignite demand from struggling consumers in August.

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