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GLG News by Structured Finance Experts

October 31, 2008
The Great CDO Unwind
Analysis of: CDO Cuts Show $1 Trillion Corporate-Debt Bets Toxic (www.bloomberg.com)
Now that CDOs are being unwound there is some interesting information emerging about the scale and structure of the CDO market. It is becoming clear how big a part the structured credit boom played in keeping credit spreads so low for so long. More evidence is also emerging how the rating structure...
Robert Canter, President-Founder
Robert Canter, President-Founder
Performance Realty Solutions, LLC
Analysis of: GlobeSt.com, E&Y Survey Finds More Pain Ahead (www.globest.com)
The problem with the survey is in the one detail that has been totally minimized and that would be the financing aspect for all the vultures waiting to pounce...
John Kilpatrick, Chief Executive Officer
John Kilpatrick, Chief Executive Officer
Greenfield Advisors
October 30, 2008
Demand versus Supply
Analysis of: Commercial-real-estate bust is coming, report warns (www.investmentnews.com)
The current commercial real estate cycle is in some ways similar to what followed the 1986 Tax Reform Act, when the death of accelerated write-offs put many deals under water.  This down-cycle is similarly driven by the death of easy credit.  The difference today is in property fundamentals. ...
Analysis of: Barclays Won't Take Losses on Lehman Settlements (www.bloomberg.com)
In the days following Lehman’s bankruptcy, it was widely predicted that the CDS settlement process would cause intolerable strains on the financial system. In fact, it seems to have been an orderly process, which should assert the robustness of the CDS market in the face of its most vehement critics....
Robert Canter, President-Founder
Robert Canter, President-Founder
Performance Realty Solutions, LLC
Analysis of: Commercial-real-estate bust is coming, report warns (www.investmentnews.com)
Now that just about all those involved in commercial real estate agree the worst is yet to come, folks need to start looking ahead. For those that failed to heed the warning signs its too late to take corrective actions. For the rest, it’s a bit of wait and see, however, the mistake will be to try and...
John Jukoski, Jr., First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis
John Jukoski, Jr., First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis
Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
October 23, 2008
Res Capped Out
Analysis of: GMAC Struggles With Financing (www.nytimes.com)
This is not surprising.  GM/GMAC has been dealing with diminishing liquidity going back to the creation of Residential Capital Corporation in 2006.
Harnath Sithamraju, Consultant
Harnath Sithamraju
Analysis of: Why is Now Important (maxkapital.blogspot.com)
1. Market is unpredictable and any analysis is obsolete even before it is completed. 2. Market is event based.
Joe Garrett, Principal Consultant
Garrett, Watts & Co
Analysis of: Wells Fargo scuppers Citigroup's takeover of Wachovia (www.guardian.co.uk)
Sometimes you don't want to get what you've been hoping for.  Wachovia has a top deposit gathering franchise, and they clearly help complete much of the Wells Fargo footprint.
Harnath Sithamraju, Consultant
Harnath Sithamraju
October 13, 2008
Fear is the key
Analysis of: Bush says 'Co-ordinated' response necessary (www.ft.com)
1. Greatest ever rescue bid under worst ever circumstances. 2. Challenging time or interesting times the reponse must be swift and on war footing to restore confidence to the people on the street.
Analysis of: On Wall St: A little less conversation By Francesco Guerrera (www.ft.com)
When faced with unprecedented lack of confidence the public is flooded with statements from Executives across the Financial Sector comparing the recent downfall of their firms to natural disasters.  Natural disasters cannot in anyway be avoided.  The use of this egregious analogy only...

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