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GLG News by Self-Storage Real Estate Experts

January 7, 2009
Is Anybody Home?
Analysis of: As Vacant Office Space Grows, So Does Lenders’ Crisis (www.nytimes.com)
The article correctly forecasts increases in vacancy and decreases in operating cash flow for office space across the country, and the resulting increases in loan defaults that will occur because of it.  But, the scenario is even worse than the current numbers show because of the large amount...
Analysis of: REIT Rebound Hinges on Credit Thaw, Recession's Depth (online.wsj.com)
The public markets have traditionally been a leading indicator of trends in the private real estate markets, and with the continuing deterioration in property fundamentals across most property types, it is hard to conceive of a broad based REIT rebound this year. Longer term, it is important to remember...
January 2, 2009
Tip of the Iceberg
Analysis of: Real estate write downs plague Morgan Stanley results (www.privateequityrealestate.net)
The recent write-downs by Morgan Stanley's real estate funds are a harbinger of broader value impairment to come in both public and private real estate markets. Although a good deal of the current write-downs  are related to refinancing issues, a second, and equally significant loss...
Howard Liggett, President and CEO
Howard Liggett, President and CEO
Distressed Real Estate Consulting Services, Inc.
Analysis of: U.S. Eyes Plan to Lift Home Sales (online.wsj.com)
As markets change,servicers and lenders need to choose a valuation company that can quickly and easily adapt.  Questions to ask include: Does your valuation vendor use a quality evaluation logic that can be changed on the fly?  The preferred valuation model would weigh more heavily on comps...
Howard Liggett, President and CEO
Howard Liggett, President and CEO
Distressed Real Estate Consulting Services, Inc.
Analysis of: N.Y. Approves ICE Credit-Default Swap Clearing Plan (Update 2) (www.bloomberg.com)
Credit default swaps have been a major element in the ongoing financial crisis. That doesn't mean it's necessarily easy to understand just what the problem is with them.  In an effort to gain clarity I have engaged in a self-directed study on the topic with the following analogy to report.
James Butler, C.F.A, Ph.D., President
Rigley Financial Corporation
Analysis of: Will the Levee Break? An Ocean of Bad Debt Rises despite Fed Rescues (knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu)
The recently proposed bailout was an inevitable solution to a ever-growing problem. The $800B will be the most costly endevour by the U.S. government since The New Deal proposal from the Great Depression. The key to the issue at-hand is two fold: first, the stabilization of the real estate prices....
Howard Liggett, President and CEO
Howard Liggett, President and CEO
Distressed Real Estate Consulting Services, Inc.
Analysis of: Capital Markets' Turmoil Clouds Some Realities (www.globest.com)
The government takeover of ailing mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac was no surprise and has been jumped all over by the mainstream press. This move was intended not to cause something to happen, but to prevent something from happening. That something was the imminent bankruptcy of the...
Analysis of: MALL GLUT TO CLOG MARKET FOR YEARS (online.wsj.com)
First: It will be slow downward spiral for the REITS, as retailers and speciality users will continue to shed or renegotiate unprofitable "new market" and "old market" locations through the next 3-5 years... This coupled with capital/financing availability will create a "recalculation"...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: An Economy on the Brink (www.usnews.com)
Mr. Zuckerman, the Editor-In-Chief, writes persuasively here of declining, nay plummeting, home prices and new home construction and of the possible passing of the U.S. auto industry and of healthcare funding problems.  He makes the point that 10 million home mortgages exceed the value of the underlying...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
August 8, 2008
How to be an optimist
Analysis of: The Other Shoe... (www.us-banker.com)
The news here is that the chickens are coming to roost in one of the largest misapplications of capital yet.  Commercial real estate is overdone in most every sector and market and the banks of this country are among the culprits.  Ratios of three and more times capital lead to predictions...

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