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John KilpatrickOctober 30, 2008
Demand versus Supply
Analysis of: Commercial-real-estate bust is coming, report warns | www.investmentnews.com
Author: John Kilpatrick, Chief Executive Officer, Greenfield Advisors
The current commercial real estate cycle is in some ways similar to what followed the 1986 Tax Reform Act, when the death of accelerated write-offs put many deals under water.  This down-cycle is similarly driven by the death of easy credit.  The difference today is in property fundamentals. ...
September 22, 2008
How to fix the Economy (without it costing too much)
Analysis of: Will the Levee Break? An Ocean of Bad Debt Rises despite Fed Rescues | knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu
Author: James Butler, President, Rigley Financial Corporation
The recently proposed bailout was an inevitable solution to a ever-growing problem. The $800B will be the most costly endevour by the U.S. government since The New Deal proposal from the Great Depression. The key to the issue at-hand is two fold: first, the stabilization of the real estate prices....
Howard LiggettSeptember 16, 2008
Nationalization of the Finance Industry Will Doom Middle Class America
Analysis of: Capital Markets' Turmoil Clouds Some Realities | www.globest.com
Author: Howard Liggett, President and CEO, Distressed Real Estate Consulting Services, Inc.
The government takeover of ailing mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac was no surprise and has been jumped all over by the mainstream press. This move was intended not to cause something to happen, but to prevent something from happening. That something was the imminent bankruptcy of the...
September 12, 2008
Slow downward spiral for Retail REIT's.
Analysis of: MALL GLUT TO CLOG MARKET FOR YEARS | online.wsj.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
First: It will be slow downward spiral for the REITS, as retailers and speciality users will continue to shed or renegotiate unprofitable "new market" and "old market" locations through the next 3-5 years... This coupled with capital/financing availability will create a "recalculation"...
Paul BurnsAugust 25, 2008
Sale housing & credit on the brink, how about apartments…
Analysis of: An Economy on the Brink | www.usnews.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Mr. Zuckerman, the Editor-In-Chief, writes persuasively here of declining, nay plummeting, home prices and new home construction and of the possible passing of the U.S. auto industry and of healthcare funding problems.  He makes the point that 10 million home mortgages exceed the value of the underlying...
Paul BurnsAugust 8, 2008
How to be an optimist
Analysis of: The Other Shoe... | www.us-banker.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The news here is that the chickens are coming to roost in one of the largest misapplications of capital yet.  Commercial real estate is overdone in most every sector and market and the banks of this country are among the culprits.  Ratios of three and more times capital lead to predictions...
August 6, 2008
Construction Lending Dries Up
Analysis of: Construction activity shrinks at record pace | www.tiscali.co.uk
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
I have been a consultant to major construction lenders for over ten years.  In this time I have averaged three property conditiion assessment or pre-project review assignments per month.  In 2008, I have received less than one assignment per month.  The firms that I consult with have...
July 22, 2008
Malaysia truly Asia
Analysis of: Malaysia Property Inc to kick off in October | biz.thestar.com.my
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Promote Malaysian property to the World A new retirement haven Government backing
July 16, 2008
Bad time to "cut and run"...
Analysis of: Centro Sells Stake in America Fund for $714 Million | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Centro has bought a large portion of their portfolio on the basis of "re-positioning". These centers still have not reach their zenith yet and unfortunately the benefactor will be the eventual owner. It would have been in Centro's interest to bring in a JV partner rather than sell outright. Despite...
Paul BurnsJuly 15, 2008
America Supplies Its Drug Dealers
Analysis of: Arming the Drug Wars | www.portfolio.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
As it turns out, gun dealers in Phoenix are supplying some/a bunch of the weapons which are being used in the drug wars below the Mexican border.  The Mexican Cartels send $ 15 Billion drugs to the U.S. and transports $ 10 Billion cash back to Mexico over the border.  As the article also tells...

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