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June 25, 2008ANOTHER EXAMPLE OF HOW CHEAP MONEY CORRUPTS
Analysis of: Steve & Barry's Faces Cash Crunch | online.wsj.com
Author: Kenneth Leonard, Principal, Leonard Associates
This article is important for at least three reasons. The first and most important is the "Domino" affect the restructuring or demise of Steve & Barry's will have on most, if not all, Mall REITs. The vast majority of their 270 existing stores are in former anchor stores that, if returned to their...
May 29, 2008Hey Eddie, The Iceberg Is Dead Ahead!
Analysis of: Sears Reports a Loss, Citing Gas and Food Prices | www.nytimes.com
Author: Kenneth Leonard, Principal, Leonard Associates
Sears stores sales down 9.8%, Kmart down 7.1%, and comp stores down 8.6%, all supposedly due to the price of gas and food. Q1:08 EPS -$0.53 v. consensus of +$0.15. While the interim CEO, Bruce Johnson, blames outside events for the poorer-than-expected showing, he also makes a puzzling comment...
May 22, 2008Ho Hum, Rising Tide Lifts All Boats & Vice Versa
Analysis of: Less Shopping = Fewer Malls | online.wsj.com
Author: Kenneth Leonard, Principal, Leonard Associates
This is a perfect example of my often repeated notion that what passes for news in today's 24/7 news-hungry environment is mostly just a rehash of old and obvious observations. This WSJ reporter obviously was given the assignment to write something newsworthy about the annual shopping...
May 7, 2008ARE ALL THE BANK ANALYSTS BLIND?
Analysis of: Sears Holdings price cut by Deutsche Bank | www.reuters.com
Author: Kenneth Leonard, Principal, Leonard Associates
While I realize that the Title is somewhat provocative and the Subject somewhat misleading, both are well deserved. As my Commentary will show, those analysts who have been following SHLD and singing the praises of Eddie at every opportunity, are finally becoming disenchanted with his...
May 6, 2008Some Very Creative Excuses For Lousy Management
Analysis of: Sears Braces For Spending Slump | online.wsj.com
Author: Kenneth Leonard, Principal, Leonard Associates
Eddie Lampert came up with about a half dozen excuses for lousy performance that in 40 years of listening to retailers use excuses about the weather, fashions, the weather, early or late holidays, the weather, and many other tired cliches, I had not heard before. While in this annual meeting he...
May 5, 2008Was It The Recession Or Was It Bed, Bath & Beyond?
Analysis of: Linens 'n Things to Close Mag Mile Store, files Ch.11 | www.chicagorealestatedaily.com
Author: Kenneth Leonard, Principal, Leonard Associates
Another hedge fund-owned retailer bites the dust! As readers of GLG News know by now, this writer has a thing against retailers using deceptive PR practices to deflect blame from lousey management. This is not a recession related bankruptcy! In an effort to provide a more realistic context...
May 1, 2008IS THE SKY REALLY FALLING?
Analysis of: Spacing Out | retailtrafficmag.com
Author: Kenneth Leonard, Principal, Leonard Associates
I think this article is important because it spreads a false sense of what is really happening in the industry. While I realize that many reporters exaggerate their premise to make for more interesting reading, this article crosses the line. In my opinion it is irresponsible to dress up an old hag that...
April 21, 2008Why Not Eliminate All Overhead And Let The Stores Run Themselves?
Analysis of: Sears cut 100 more jobs at retailer's headquarters | www.chicagotribune.com
Author: Kenneth Leonard, Principal, Leonard Associates
I have (had) many friends working at Sears' Hoffman Estates headquarters,(most now gone) and to the man, (or woman) they have some of the scariest horror stories I have ever heard, about the conditions that prevail under Mr. Lampert's leadership. This latest round of layoffs is just one more indication...
April 16, 2008The Clouds Of Danger Are Gathering Over Carrefour's Horizon
Analysis of: Family Bids Adieu to Carrefour Control | online.wsj.com
Author: Kenneth Leonard, Principal, Leonard Associates
One of the major reasons for Carrefours success thus far is about to become its biggest lability! By keeping its' occupancy costs low through ownership of many of its' locations, Carrefour has managed to pass along the benefits of below market rents to its' shareholders in the form of increased profits. ...
April 16, 2008Finally, Reality Sets In
Analysis of: BID/ASK GAP BRINGS INVESTMENT SALES TO A HALT | retailtrafficmag.com
Author: Kenneth Leonard, Principal, Leonard Associates
With extensive anecdotal evidence from retail real estate brokers around the country who are bemoaning their lack of action, this article attempts to depict what's behind the almost moribund market for retail properties. As usual, this reporter who frequently writes for one...
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