GLG News by Residential Operative Builders and Developers (Arizona)
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July 23, 2007Apartment rents are this week’s news
Analysis of: Rents rise locally as occupancy rates dip | www.azstarnet.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Apartment rents are up throughout the country, sometimes considerably. The western U.S. has current occupancies of over 90% in the major markets. The weakest areas are where you might expect in Phoenix, Tucson, California’s Inland Empire and Sacramento. The combination here of relatively low wage structures...
July 17, 2007U.S. Housing Overpricing Is Just the Symptom of a Systemic Problem
Analysis of: Trendsetting Baby Boomers Ready For “Me Time” In Homes | www.realestatejournal.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The map presentation accompanying the referenced article is notable because in detailing the overvaluation of housing in four ranges not much of the map is left unpainted. We knew that before the map so adequately articulated the problem. The issue should lead us, though, to think further about the...
July 9, 2007Housing market may be worse than stats reveal
Analysis of: How Low Will It Go? June 18, 2006 | www.bobbappraisals.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The pressure is intense for home owners, lenders, home builders and other investors to maintain housing values. Companies who provide financial and other services such as real estate brokers, appraisers and the like are dependent for their income on a steady to rising market. The home buyer on the other...
July 3, 2007Mexico joins the nation’s largest distribution pipeline
Analysis of: Region’s home equity called OK June 9, 2006 | www.signonsandiego.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
We see from the article that over 40 % of the nation’s imports by cargo ship flow through the adjacent Long Beach and Los Angeles ports which lie smack in the middle of the Los Angeles Metroplex. Moreover, the traffic at the ports will double in the next dozen or so years. The container port proposed...
June 26, 2007California’s Central Valley Housing Woes Continue
Analysis of: State ag fears take wing: Moth stirs worry on exports as some distant buyers balk | calibre.mworld.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Affordability ratios are too high, sales are weak, a reduced number of new jobs don't help and wages at the middle and upper levels are not increasing.
June 18, 2007Here’s how you overbuild an office and industrial market
Analysis of: Rockefeller Group eyes Chandler site | www.eastvalleytribune.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The greater fool enters a market when investment interest rates elevate and negative leverage occurs. Or when income streams are interrupted by an inventory of new construction.
June 11, 2007The tipping point is here for residential prices
Analysis of: Landlords Push Tenants Out to Gentrify Units, Suit Says | pqasb.pqarchiver.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
We’ve arrived at a crucial time in this cycle where foreclosures and defaults both existing and imminent throughout the country threaten to tip prices over to substantial market price reductions.
June 4, 2007Let’s put numbers to reduced housing prices
Analysis of: Lenders told foreclosure picture grim | www.signonsandiego.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
When the housing market moves up, it moves up at a rapid clip or so it seems. We spend so much time enjoying the new wealth if we are home owners or involved in the housing industry that time seems to fly. When the market slows or dips, the process seems to take forever. And, in truth, it does take...
May 29, 2007Here’s The Problem With Housing
Analysis of: Study: Men's earnings shrink | www.latimes.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The factors outlined show that the growth in family income is being outpaced by the growth in family expenses. Something’s got to give and it will be the cost of housing that leads the giving. There aren’t many ways to get the family income up anymore now that the college degree is a standard and...
May 25, 2007What is KB’s real motive/opportunity here?
Analysis of: KB to sell lucrative French subsidiary | www.latimes.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The consensus for the future as now laid forth for investors by the housing industry is that there can be no consensus currently. There just are too many variables to make a wise call guided by historical trends, it is said. And no one among the investors or the media today rises to dispute that forecast,...
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