GLG News by Residential Operative Builders and Developers (Arizona)
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January 28, 2008What's happening on the border?
Analysis of: Tijuana Mayhem | www.signonsandiego.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
At the same time the subject article was running, the New York Times and Los Angeles Times printed articles about the Federales pursuing the gangs on Tijuana’s streets and the mayor taking gunfire at home. This vast country of say 50+ million is looking more and more like its third world cousins...
January 22, 2008Contrasting housing markets
Analysis of: New housing outlook: 5 years to recover | www.azcentral.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Finally we have the first forecast of a housing recovery that seems believable. The five year forecast for Phoenix appeals to my sense of reality and I agree. I also agree that we will forget the current pain and euphoria will reign again.
January 14, 2008How do you like the residential real estate market now?
Analysis of: Bank of America Eats Countrywide For Long Term Gains | www.therealestatebloggers.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
No matter the price or terms of the B of A-Countrywide transaction, you’ve now got a combo that dominates the market in a way that looks like GM/Ford/Chrysler in the auto industry. In a business that was traditionally fragmented, twenty years of Wall Street activity in the era of the PC has rolled...
January 7, 2008We need working cities to be competitive in ths world
Analysis of: In Major Projects, Agreeing Not To Disagree | www.nytimes.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Every city has this problem. The public sector has little capability to meet the needs for streets, sewers, water systems, power grids and the other backbone items required to open for business every day. What’s fundable is patchwork and it appears we’re patching the patches too often now.
December 31, 20072008 won’t be great for commercial real estate
Analysis of: Wall Street’s Next Crisis | www.portfolio.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The time has arrived for the U.S. to pay the bill for illiquidity or rather the excesses of the last eight years of Republican economics. The prediction made in the article is for worse times than generally expected sooner than anticipated. The CMBS market is a dead issue right now with $...
December 27, 2007Hig rise condos blink
Analysis of: Valley Ho alters plan, turns condo units into hotel suites | www.azcentral.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Here’s an example of a conversion from an older hotel property in an OK but not great location losing its momentum. The per unit cost of the renovation will prevent a reasonable return from being realized for the current owners. The only investment hope will come after the monetization of losses...
December 19, 2007That building is only worth its future refinancing value
Analysis of: The Credit Crisis Grows | www.usnews.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The financial basket includes the REIT’s and REOC’s and Homebuilders and Mortgage Lenders and Realtors we’ve funded so generously that overexpansion and speculation was the business rather than the production and operation of real estate.
December 17, 2007The Credit Crunch will hurt even the most experienced who have not been wary.
Analysis of: Billionaire May Obstruct Macklowe Tower Project | online.wsj.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Commercial real estate is a business of opportunity, and opportunity comes at its own pace.
December 12, 2007Investment property prices will fall much further
Analysis of: The chill spreads to commercial real estate | www.latimes.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
This article has the tenor of many articles written about the housing industry in say 2004. The initial tremors in the market are dismissed as a minor and temporary event to be followed by a steady rise thereafter.
December 10, 2007Mexico’s resort developments show the U.S. economy affects the rest of the world
Analysis of: Decoupling' Debunked as U.S. Collapse Infects World (Update2) | www.bloomberg.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The Mexico resort/retirement/second home industry is suffering as buyers from the U.S. are on the sidelines. Some thirty Baja California and Sea of Cortez developments in planning are predicted to stall on the boards in the coming period. Prices have escalated at 15% annually in recent years, but no...
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