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March 24, 2008Thoughts about the financial markets and real estate
Analysis of: How bad is the mortgage crisis going to get? | money.cnn.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Consider: “a lot of the financial system looks like it’s going to shrivel up and have to be rebuilt”; “it’s clear that we’re going to have a commercial real estate crash not too far short of the severity of the housing crash”; “the only good thing we have going for the U.S. economy now is the weak dollar...
March 17, 2008Try this on for the next decade in the credit markets
Analysis of: Credit Contagion | www.usnews.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
This material is an easy reading two pages that proposes government programs that will take at least ten years to effect. We haven’t begun to set up a government program as proposed and won’t in this lame duck administration. So by the time the next government in Washington gets out of first...
March 10, 2008How do you like them malls now?
Analysis of: Retailers bracing for worst January report on record | www.marketwatch.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The subject article chronicles the downward trend in retail sales and consumerism that was shown in the less than stellar Holiday season just past. Other media have recently questioned the strength of the fashion sector as indicated by the recent closings in LRTW.
March 10, 2008Here’s the Government Bailout we’ll need to restore economic order
Analysis of: The Banker’s Bailout | www.portfolio.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
It’s preposterous to think that our real estate, homebuilding and home lending industries could with government approval in the last ten years have created the losses which threaten to upset the entire financial system of this county in a manner which may eclipse the thirties.
March 6, 2008Contrasting opinions about the housing market – are these guys on the same planet?
Analysis of: The Haunted Housing Market | www.usnews.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The Editor-In-Chief of U.S. News & World Report is torn between the development business and journalism. Most often such divided efforts might result in mediocre results in both areas, but in this case Mr. Zuckerman has been outstandingly successful at both endeavors. So his words to...
February 26, 2008How will Wall Street's failing financial poducts affect real estate values?
Analysis of: Hedge Fund Manager Devaney Returns to Subprime After Yacht Sale | www.bloomberg.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The press is reporting on defaulted CDO’s and CMBS’ and Credit Default Swaps endlessly these days. The referenced article is just one of the many occurring in almost every business paper and publication. Now Michael Lewis has reported in the latest issue of Portfolio reports on the options-pricing...
February 25, 2008This ULI panel says retail space will change from malls to the next generation design
Analysis of: ULI Asks: 'Can Stand-Alone Malls Survive?' | www.globest.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Now a panel empowered by the U.L.I. has declared the old EMAC dead and the future of retailing to be provided in a planned environment housing not only retail but residents and the total commercial and industrial needs of the community. Today that seems to mean that individual retail stores will...
February 11, 2008Notes on the Evolution of the Sub-Prime Solution
Analysis of: Preventing a Panic | www.usnews.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The Editorial referenced presents a picture of treasury risk that is not understood and therefore not ratable at this time. The combination of insurance underwriting failures and leverage and ultimate liability, however, at the worst threatens to bust institutions holding portfolios when the losses...
February 4, 2008The Mall is in free-fall
Analysis of: Birth, Death and Shopping | www.economist.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The modern mall is a creature that is usually now 35 or so years old. The birth and evolution of the industry is chronicled in the featured article. Originally some 1600 strong, the breed now numbers say 1100 and will diminish further as the next era evolves.
February 4, 2008The U.S. needs the basic housing product it last built n the 1940's
Analysis of: Home Affordability | www.marketwatch.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The featured commentary notes that even as home prices across the nation implode, affordability ratios are not moving in favor of the consumer. Wages are lagging the increase in household budget items such as utility costs, food, transportation, gasoline and heating oil, communications services...
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IT'S STARTING!
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