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August 18, 2008
Earningd Plunge At Least 95 % : An Indicator of The Affect of Debt-Related Investments!
Analysis of: Bank Debt Risk Rises as Writedowns, Losses Exceed $500 Billion | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Implications: 1.Bank losses are a severe restriction on lending practices of Financial Institutions. 2.Severe Financial and Economic damage to corporations and the individual consumer as delinquencies on home and commercial loans rise. 3.Many U.S banking institutions , now have, a substantial deteriortion...
Mark MariottiAugust 18, 2008
Localized Real Estate Recovery
Analysis of: Mortgage lending falls 32% as prices slump | business.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
The prior several years have definitely been a severe downturn (stating the obvious) in the destruction of existing housing prices. Bloated inventories, overextended borrowers, lack of decent funding, macro economics, lack of faith in the valuations have all contributed to this mess. But it...
August 18, 2008
SWF are no fools
Analysis of: Sovereign Wealth Fund Assets Could Triple by 2013 | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWF) have a lot of money. So they can buy advice. What they do with it is another matter. Investing in Blackstone was investing in a reputable firm at a bad time. So short term the investment looks bad. Long term is the the time horizon of SWF and in the longer term it may...
August 18, 2008
Factor In Reality
Analysis of: Bank Debt Risk Rises as Writedowns, Losses Exceed $500 Billion | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Salomone, Managing Director, Structured Finance International, LLC
Write downs are not actual losses and a mark-to-market loss is not a cash loss. Widening spreads in the credit default market, although real, must be recognized for what they are; namely, market monetization of perceived risks compared to recent backwards looking asset and cash flow valuations. Recovery...
August 18, 2008
Japanese Insurance Carriers are denied Growth Opportunities In their Domestic Markets!
Analysis of: Japan Insurers Look Abroad as Profits, Premiums Drop | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Imlpications: 1.An appearance of the Lack of Economic Growth Opportunities in the Domestic Markerplace has caused a drop in premiums and, hence, profits. 2.The two (2) salient issues the demographic changes in population and economic growth. 3.A rapidly aging in the country's population may be the motivating...
August 14, 2008
UBS Losses become Severe causing a "Re-engineering" of Business Components!
Analysis of: UBS to Split Investment Bank From Wealth Management | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Implications: 1.The Causation of further losses : the Sub-prime Mortgage Crisis. 2.A Major change in Management to salvage the Net Losses of the Shareholder. 3.Net Money Outflows far exceed Cash Inflows - the Ultimate affect is Major Write-Downs by the Insitution. 4.Causation: Deterioration of...
Mark MariottiAugust 12, 2008
It's a cycle, stupid!
Analysis of: Will Tom McKillop resign from Royal Bank of Scotland? | business.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Yes, it is a mess - I have seen about 3 or 4 cycles such as these over the last 30-years.  We have all seen this mess coming years ago. In 2004, a vast amount of mortgage originators were doing some very creative things to sell mortgages. HEOPA and high cost was in effect while these negative...
Mark MariottiAugust 8, 2008
Writedown low is a floor, cycles continue...
Analysis of: Wall Street braced for further $11bn writedown at Citigroup | business.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
a) markets self correct b) yes all sorts of pain occurs c) the cycle continues... lows become floors and investors flood in
Mark MariottiAugust 8, 2008
The US refined petrolium gasoline consumer must now smell the coffee
Analysis of: Chrysler Offers Gas Deal To Jolt Sales | online.wsj.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
For many decades, the world's refined petrolium gasoline consumer  have not had such a plentiful and affordable stream of energy. Finally, the US refined petrolium gasoline consumer has experienced a history of $.27 a gallon in the sixties to $4.50 a gallon today. Price, will eventually CHANGE...
July 30, 2008
Will Government's Promotion of Covered Bonds as Mortgage Funding Mechanisms Bring Back Investors to US Mortgage Market?
Analysis of: Treasury and Banks Kick Start Home Financing Tool | www.reuters.com
Author: Maureen Bolton, Principal, Global Capital Access
This article is important because it announces and describes: a) the US Treasury's support of covered bonds, an on-balance sheet method of funding mortgage originations, as an alternative to off-balance sheet mortgage securitizations or mbs b) Four major US banks announcements of their intentions to...

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