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September 22, 2008
How to fix the Economy (without it costing too much)
Analysis of: Will the Levee Break? An Ocean of Bad Debt Rises despite Fed Rescues | knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu
Author: James Butler, President, Rigley Financial Corporation
The recently proposed bailout was an inevitable solution to a ever-growing problem. The $800B will be the most costly endevour by the U.S. government since The New Deal proposal from the Great Depression. The key to the issue at-hand is two fold: first, the stabilization of the real estate prices....
John JukoskiSeptember 18, 2008
Be wary of synthetic markets
Analysis of: Leveraged Loan Risk Rises on Lehman Auction, LevX Index Shows | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
The analysis in this article is generally on point, but keep in mind this is a synthetic market.
September 17, 2008
Dominance and Control of Retail Lending: Deutsche Bank's Strategic Positioning!
Analysis of: Deutsche Bank swoops on Postbank | uk.reuters.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Implications: 1. Eventual Objective of the Bank - A complete take-over of Postbank. The Strategy is incremental in nature and a strong, meaningful management posture in the Financial Marketplace. 2."At Risk" is the shareholder/investor as the unknown consequences reveal themselves over a period...
Mark MariottiSeptember 15, 2008
Southern California Mortgage Lending Rates Drop
Analysis of: Mortgage market improves with new market-leading deals | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Effective immediately after the Fannie/Freddie take over, the DITECH origination service of Cerberus' GMAC Financial Services launched a television campaign to offer 5.5% interest rate mortgage loans.
Mark MariottiSeptember 15, 2008
The Bear Sterns Equity Strip Model
Analysis of: Lehman Brothers faces Korean takeover bid | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Unlikely that a suitor firm will take over Lehman directly by itself without assistance, perks or partners. As you may recall Bear Stearns in a similar situation, and remember that the Feds had to lend and assist JP Morgan with the acquisition.
September 12, 2008
Financial Opportunities Arise: Credit Suisse Seizes the Imbalance caused by Market Dislocation!
Analysis of: Credit Suisse sees opportunities in market crisis | www.reuters.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Implications: 1.Being Financially astute enables the bank to explore opportunities despite the subprime-led financial crisis. 2.It may be , well, expected that other larger banks crushed by the crisis will have to sell a stake of their business. 3.In lieu of losing clients , many other Institutions...
September 11, 2008
Leveraging Buyout Debt, Loans, Credit Swaps Enhances a Negative Financial Outlook!
Analysis of: CDO Performance Outlook Cut on Increased Defaults, Moody's Says | www.bloomberg.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Implications: 1.All Global and Domestic default rates have risen and a strong forecast of a Recession are on the radar screen. 2.Emerging Market Debt and Loans by the Japanese to large coporations appear to be the only issues that have a positive synergy. 3." Emerging Markets " appear to present...
John JukoskiSeptember 11, 2008
Good Idea, Wrong Justification
Analysis of: Lehman Brothers faces Korean takeover bid | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
KDB in this case is playing the role of the blind squirrel who finds a nut.  It is wise to invest opportunistically, in ventures that are cheap, WHEN YOU UNDERSTAND THAT YOU ARE NOT KNOWLEDGEBLE IN HOW TO RUN THESE BUSINESSES. 
John JukoskiSeptember 11, 2008
Credit vs. Collateral
Analysis of: ECB `Overpricing' of Asset-Backed Debt May Shut Out Investors | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
The question to answer here is whether or not the ECB is a collateral-based lender.
John JukoskiSeptember 11, 2008
Markets can function regardless of the ECB's actions
Analysis of: ECB to Change Auction Rules to Stop Banks `Gaming the System,' Mersch Says | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
The fact the ECB might accept securities other central banks (or private lenders) might not is not preventing the market for these securities to correct.  Pledging securities to a collateralized lender will not affect the ability to sell these securities when the opportunity presents itself.

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