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GLG News by Railcar Market Experts (EU)

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February 21, 2008
Class I inaction on the EJ&E Purchase by the CN
Analysis of: Rail exec's traffic fix sidetracked | chicagobusiness.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Other Class I and II railroad involvement in the use of EJ&E tracks
February 21, 2008
After decades of shrinking, railroads are expanding their networks
Analysis of: New Era Dawns for Rail Building | online.wsj.com
Author: Tom Murray, Consultant and Writer, Tom Murray
As railroads have seen their traffic volumes surge over the past several years, they have found that their networks, most of which were originally laid out in the 19th century, aren't well suited to 21st century traffic patterns. As a result, all of the major North American railroads are investing heavily...
February 20, 2008
CN + EJ&E: Not the slam dunk that CN had hoped for
Analysis of: Rail exec's traffic fix sidetracked | chicagobusiness.com
Author: Tom Murray, Consultant and Writer, Tom Murray
Canadian National CEO Hunter Harrison has long been frustrated by the delays and costs of getting rail freight through Chicago. Those concerns have been magnified by CN's development of business out of the new container port at Prince Rupert, B.C., much of which is destined for Chicago or Memphis. Harrison...
Toby KolstadFebruary 20, 2008
Railroad Pricing power being fueled by boom in commodity prices
Analysis of: Global demand lifts grain prices, gobbles supplies | www.usatoday.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
Railroads, both large and small, have managed to keep raising freight rates each year, even as some of their traffic segments have suffered declines in loadings and ton miles. Although the data is still incomplete, it does not look as if the rate increases are to blame for these traffic losses. Moreover,...
February 19, 2008
Number of PRB Tons in 2008 in 2009 to Backfill Eastern Coal Exports and for New Coal Plants
Analysis of: Sector Snap: Coal Falls After Downgrades | www.chron.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    The anticipated export of Eastern U.S. coal in 2008 and 2009 will need to be sourced in great extent from the Powder River Basin (PRB).  This is in addition to the new coal plants coming on in 2008 and 2009 using PRB coal. The discussion below provides a forecast on...
February 19, 2008
Not All Powder River Basin Coals Have Participated in Run-Up in Coal Prices
Analysis of: Foundation Coal Swings to 4Q Profit | money.cnn.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    The global coal availability and price has provided the opportunity for U.S. Eastern coals to be placed in export to Europe.  This has dramatically increased Eastern coal prices.  This provides an opportunity for Western Powder River Basin (PRB) coals.
February 19, 2008
Regulated Utilities May Not Necessarily Receive Cost Recovery for Increased Coal Prices
Analysis of: Coal, Once Stable, Zooms in Price | www.news.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    The increase in coal prices will obviously increase the electricity generating costs at a coal plant exposed to these price increases.  The impact to Independent Power Producers (IPPs) and their potential margins is understood.  Regulated utilities, on the other hand,...
February 19, 2008
Western U.S. Coal Potential Export
Analysis of: Talk of Exporting U.S. Coal to Pacific on the Rise | uk.reuters.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    The global coal availability and subsequent coal price explosion has provided a great benefit to Eastern U.S. coal producers.  The Western U.S. coals may not be able to appreciably directly-participate in the export surge.
Toby KolstadFebruary 6, 2008
Icahn is known for his patience and he will need it with Greenbrier (GBX)
Analysis of: Icahn Owns 9.5 Pct of Railcar Maker | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
Carl Icahn’s purchase of a 9.5% stake in Greenbrier Cos. seems to imply that he intends to pursue a merger between American Railcar (ARII), in which he controls a majority of the stock, and Greenbrier, two railcar builders with complimentary design portfolios and railroad business interests. The two...
Toby KolstadFebruary 5, 2008
Wabtec scores second win in sales of its high tech brake technology
Analysis of: Wabtec Receives Order for ECP Equipment for Southern Company Coal Train | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
Southern Company, a southeastern utility which owns and leases a large fleet of railcars, gave Wabtec and order to equip 300 of them with electric brakes. The NS and BNSF railroads had been given approval to operate trains with electric brakes in 2007, after which NS ordered 210 electric brake systems...

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