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July 10, 2008Prince Rupert Traffic contributes to Intermodal Gains at CN
Analysis of: CN welcomes added vessel call at Port of Prince Rupert container terminal | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
A second container vessel will make weekly stops at CN’s container terminal in Prince Rupert BC potentially bringing 1000 more containers per week to CN for movement to the Midwest and possibly raising the terminal’s inbound volume to over 2,000 containers per week. At that volume, more than one...
July 2, 2008Railroad Pricing Power successfully challenged again, but not enough to end rate increases
Analysis of: Sector Snap: Rate ruling seen hurting railroads | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
On June 30, 2008, the STB ruled that CSX was charging excessively high rates to Dupont for several movements of chemical products and ordered the railroad to reduce them and pay reparations to Dupont . Several weeks ago, the STB ruled that UP had overcharged a Kansas Utility and ordered them to reduce...
July 1, 2008More than floods in the Midwest are to blame for railroad traffic losses
Analysis of: US rail shipments fall 5.7 percent amid floods | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
The Association of American Railroads (AAR) reported that the Midwest Floods “continued to negatively impact rail freight traffic” during last week, a statement easily verified by a quick check of the weekly carloads of the UP RR which showed at 10% drop in carload for the week ending June 21. However,...
June 23, 2008
No Guarantee Rising Fuel Costs May Be Passed On By Regulated Utilities to Customers
Analysis of: Rapid-Rising Fuel Costs Force Power Price Increase | www.chipleypaper.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
No Guarantee Rising Fuel Costs May Be Passed On By Regulated Utilities to Customers
Analysis of: Rapid-Rising Fuel Costs Force Power Price Increase | www.chipleypaper.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
The input costs for utilities to generate electricity are up. These costs include coal, transportation, natural gas, and power purchases. There are no guarantees, however, that a regulated utility may pass along these costs as discussed in the commentary section.
June 23, 2008
Failure to Renew Production Tax Credits Could Dwindle New U.S. Wind Projects
Analysis of: Wind Power Backers Lament Tax Credit Limbo; Say Investments at Risk | milwaukee.bizjournals.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
Failure to Renew Production Tax Credits Could Dwindle New U.S. Wind Projects
Analysis of: Wind Power Backers Lament Tax Credit Limbo; Say Investments at Risk | milwaukee.bizjournals.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
Wind power qualifies for production tax credits. These production tax credits are set to expire on December 31, 2008 without renewal by Congress and the President.
June 23, 2008
Run-Up in Coal Prices Benefit Those Utilities with Coal Assets
Analysis of: Utility Consumers Face Souring Costs | www.tradingmarkets.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
Run-Up in Coal Prices Benefit Those Utilities with Coal Assets
Analysis of: Utility Consumers Face Souring Costs | www.tradingmarkets.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
Bituminous coal prices have soared over 100% in the last year. This is obviously bad news to electric consumers dependent upon utilities with a large exposure to coal-fired generation. The run-up in coal prices could be a benefit to some utilities.
June 23, 2008
It Is Not Just Capital Costs that Hinder Coal Plants
Analysis of: : Rising Costs Hinder New Power Plant Builds | db.riskwaters.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
It Is Not Just Capital Costs that Hinder Coal Plants
Analysis of: : Rising Costs Hinder New Power Plant Builds | db.riskwaters.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
As the article correctly points out, capital costs to build a new power plant have risen considerably since 2000; coal plants included. It is not just the up-front capital costs that have affected decisions to build new coal plants as discussed in the commentary sectio...
June 23, 2008Railroad auto business is not the only traffic segment facing serious cutbacks in coming months
Analysis of: Analyst says autos to drag on rails | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
The recent announcements of major cutbacks in US light vehicle production will definitely have a negative impact on both railroad traffic volumes and railroad profits. While this traffic only accounts for only 5% of all US carload shipments, its hefty margins contribute much more to the bottom line...
June 12, 2008Demand for coal cars will increase, but so will Freightcar America’s competition for orders
Analysis of: Coal Fuels FreightCar | www.forbes.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
Overlooking the author’s tendency for hyperbole and his greatly distorted timeline of history, his conclusion that demand for new coal cars will soon return is right on target. He is also right in highlighting the current danger to those builders who might be exposed to fixed price contracts and escalating...
June 6, 2008Leasing companies order and/or buy railcars, not railroad companies; and therein lays the problem
Analysis of: Where Have All The Railcars Gone? | www.forbes.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
The in Forbes article about the large number of surplus railcars, the author incorrectly blames the railroad companies for stocking up on ethanol cars until the “ethanol bubble burst” and they realized they had built too many cars. In truth, railcar leasing companies ordered the cars after hearing requests...
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