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GLG News by Railcar Market Experts (EU)

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Toby KolstadSeptember 19, 2008
Wabtec (WAB) continues to grow
Analysis of: Wabtec to acquire Chicago rail supplier for $300M | pittsburgh.bizjournals.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
Standard Car Truck will be a great addition to the Wabtec family of companies. There is no overlap in product lines and most of the products offered by Standard will compliment those already made at Wabtec. Moreover, there are potential synergies that may enable the company to grow organically...
Toby KolstadSeptember 16, 2008
It’s not just falling fuel prices that are driving railroad profits
Analysis of: Analyst sees short-term leap for 2 biggest rails | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
On September 10, an analyst at USB thought that the two major western railroads would do well in the second half of 2008, the day before CSX upgraded its earnings estimates for its third quarter from around $3.55 to $3.70.  USB had also upgraded Norfolk Southern to a BUY on September 10. Most analysts...
Toby KolstadSeptember 10, 2008
Railcar leasing gets a thumbs up from CIT
Analysis of: UPDATE 1-CIT says will retain railcar leasing unit | www.reuters.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
CIT Group Inc. (CIT) had placed its railcar leasing business on the market and invited several bidders to make an offer for its assets before changing its mind and deciding to hold onto the business. They were not alone in considering a sale of their railcar leasing business, although they were perhaps...
Toby KolstadSeptember 3, 2008
Aside from Wabtec and one or two other supply companies, real growth in railroad industry is hard to find.
Analysis of: You Need This Growth Stock | www.stockpickr.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
The current renaissance for the railroad industry began in 2004 when railroad traffic exploded (double digit gains in some key traffic segments) and freight rates were unlocked and allowed to seek a market level. For the railroad companies, the exceptional profit gains since 2005 have been almost exclusively...
Toby KolstadAugust 25, 2008
Many companies besides the major railroads will benefit from resurgence of railroad industry
Analysis of: Following Buffett's Railroad Tracks | seekingalpha.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
The Class I railroads have boosted their earnings and share prices in recent years by increasing their freight rates much faster than their costs have risen, both fuel and labor. The high price/earnings multiples of their common shares (ranging between 17 and 21) attest to many investors’ belief that...
August 19, 2008
Clean Air Ruling’s Potential Affect on Utilities and IPPs Long SO2 and NOx Allowances
Analysis of: Clean Air Ruling Raises Doubts Over Investments | www.cattlenetwork.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    Court’s decision vacating the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) potentially affects utilities or IPPs long the allowances as described in the section that follows.
August 18, 2008
Regulated Utilities Benefit from Environmental Retrofit Spending on Power Plants and on Shorter Depreciation Period
Analysis of: Proposal Would Cut Oregon Coal Plant’s Haze-Causing Pollution | www.oregonlive.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    When air pollution retrofits are placed on a power plant, a regulated, investor-owned, utility financially benefits.  An unregulated, independent power producer (IPP) does not necessarily financially benefit.
August 18, 2008
CAIR Ruling Makes it Cheaper to Turn Off/Bypass Scrubbers, But Unlikely to Happen
Analysis of: Power Failure: A Court Defeat for the EPA Leaves it Up to Congress to Tackle Utilities' Air Pollution | www.washingtonpost.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    The Court’s July 11, 2008 decision vacating the Clean Air Interstate Rule (CAIR) caused the price of SO2 emissions allowances to decrease less than the cost of operating a scrubber to reduce the SO2 emissions.  The discussions that follow discuss this and the likelihood...
August 18, 2008
Coal- to Gas-Fired Generation Considerations: It is Not Just Fuel Economics
Analysis of: Gas Drop Buoys Dynegy, Mirant in Slowing U.S. Economy | www.bloomberg.com
Author: Thomas Shewski, Owner, High Energy Services
    As the article points out, natural gas-fired generation may be cheaper than coal-fired generation in certain parts of the nation.  The section below discusses some of the items that go into the decision to fuel switch from coal to natural gas.
Toby KolstadAugust 14, 2008
Production of coal cars may not significantly increase in future
Analysis of: FreightCar America: Coal Car Orders Will Pick Up Soon | seekingalpha.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
There is much hope that orders for new coal cars will increase in the near future, lifting production rates at Freightcar America (RAIL). Coal exports are up almost 80% from a few years ago and domestic demand should increase significantly when the 52 new coal-fired generating plants which are currently...

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