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GLG News by Railcar Market Experts (EU)

Toby Kolstad, President
Toby Kolstad, President
Rail Theory Forecasts
Analysis of: Rail-car backlog, orders and deliveries nosedive in third quarter, ARCI data shows (www.progressiverailroading.com)
The railcar builders association, the ARCI, reported that in the third quarter, only 8,121 new railcars were ordered, bringing the total orders for the year to roughly 31,000 cars. Moreover, deliveries decreased to 15,032, bringing the year to date total to 48,296. At Rail Theory Forecasts, we had predicted...
Thomas Shewski, Owner
High Energy Services
Analysis of: Hot Coal (www.ft.com)
    Coal prices delivered into Europe are currently above $100/tonne (metric ton) as measured by the API 2 Index. This is up approximately 50% from prices being quoted for this same period at the beginning of 2007.     The commentary that follows evaluates the...
Toby Kolstad, President
Toby Kolstad, President
Rail Theory Forecasts
Analysis of: Greenbrier to build 11,900 cars for GE, enter North American tank-car manufacturing market (www.progressiverailroading.com)
Greenbrier’s surprise announcement that it will build new tank cars in the future for GE Rail Services was a bold and badly needed development for that railcar builder, but don’t anticipate much profit growth in the near future from this new venture. Demand for Greenbrier’s main car types, double-stack...
Thomas Shewski, Owner
High Energy Services
Analysis of: Record Coal Prices Hammer Power Generators (africa.reuters.com)
    Current delivered coal prices into Europe have crossed over the $100/tonne (metric ton) threshold as measured by the API 2 Index into Northern Europe. That is up ~50% from prices for this period quoted at the beginning of 2007.     The commentary discusses...
Thomas Shewski, Owner
High Energy Services
October 10, 2007
Coal Market--Bullish
Analysis of: Out of the Gate: Massey Rises (www.forbes.com)
    The upgrade by Stifel Nicolaus & Co. of Massey Energy is representative of the bullishness in the U.S. coal sector. The commentary section discusses the positives in the coal sector.
Thomas Shewski, Owner
High Energy Services
Analysis of: Consol Energy Purchases Tri-River Transport Group (www.bymnews.com)
Consol Energy’s acquisition of Tri-River Fleeting Harbor Services and Ti-River Marine towboat fleet continues its shrewd investment of Ohio River and Monongahela River assets. This follows Consol Energy’s 2006 acquisition of the Guttman Group Mon River and J.A.R. towboat and barge assets.
Toby Kolstad, President
Toby Kolstad, President
Rail Theory Forecasts
Analysis of: Rail Traffic Up in Most Recent Week (www.progressiverailroading.com)
For most of this year, the week to week comparisons of carload and intermodal traffic in 2006 have been negative; but for the week ending September 27, 2007, the number of carloads reported was slightly higher than those reported for the same period in 2006. While the weekly comparisons have varied...
Toby Kolstad, President
Toby Kolstad, President
Rail Theory Forecasts
Analysis of: Senate Judiciary Committee passes rail ‘antitrust enforcement’ bill (www.progressiverailroading.com)
A Senate bill involving railroad regulatory matters, S.772 introduced on March 6, 2007, was recently approved by the Judiciary Committee and sent to the full Senate for consideration. Ostensibly, the bill would give other government agencies some regulatory control over railroad mergers, which would...
Thomas Shewski, Owner
High Energy Services
Analysis of: Global Coal Demand May Lift U.S. Companies (www.phillyburbs.com)
    As the article points out China’s demand for coal has impacted the global coal situation. This and other issues discussed below are bullish for US coal producers.
Thomas Shewski, Owner
High Energy Services
Analysis of: Captive Shipping is Serious Concern (www.dailyinterlake.com)
    The long-awaited Surface Transportation Board (STB) rate case decisions for coal transportation to captive BNSF Railway customers demonstrates it is nearly hopeless under the current process to successfully challenge a coal transportation rate.

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