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GLG News by Rail Car Leasing Experts

Toby Kolstad, President
Toby Kolstad, President
Rail Theory Forecasts
Analysis of: Soft international container demand drives down total Q1 intermodal volume, IANA says (www.progressiverailroading.com)
IANA (Intermodal Association of North America) reported that the first quarter intermodal volume was down 2.4%, almost identical to the decline reported by the AAR several weeks ago. Not surprisingly, the decline in imports was cited as the main reason for the decline, although the losses were partially...
Toby Kolstad, President
Toby Kolstad, President
Rail Theory Forecasts
Analysis of: Union Pacific must cut coal rates for KC utility (biz.yahoo.com)
The Surface Transportation Board ruled that the freight rates that the Union Pacific Railroad unilaterally imposed upon Kansas City Power and Light in 2006 for the transportation of their Powder River Coal were in excess of the board’s guidelines for a carrier that had market dominance. Since the STB...
Toby Kolstad, President
Toby Kolstad, President
Rail Theory Forecasts
Analysis of: CSX powers up for a fight (www.railwayage.com)
Trade magazines are usually constrained to write only positive comments about the companies in the industries they cover, since subscriptions and ad revenues are more dependent on goodwill rather than good investigative reporting. In the article reviewed below however, the writer/editor finally fesses...
Toby Kolstad, President
Toby Kolstad, President
Rail Theory Forecasts
Analysis of: UPDATE 1-FreightCar profit plummets, cites economy, costs (www.reuters.com)
CEO’s never like to go into lengthy explanations on the dynamics of their industry in explaining a dismal financial performance, but with year to date coal volumes up 4.6%, according to the most recent AAR report, blaming the economy for the problems besetting the company seems more like dodging the...
Toby Kolstad, President
Toby Kolstad, President
Rail Theory Forecasts
Analysis of: Greenbrier Q2 profit misses Street estimates, shares fall (www.reuters.com)
During the last downturn in the railcar building industry, Greenbrier gained market share while cutting back production since the cars it produced were more popular that the car types manufactured by the other builders. This time around, just the opposite is true; there is almost no demand for the intermodal...
John Salomone, Managing Director
Structured Finance International, LLC
Analysis of: Hotels Most Vulnerable to Recession Scenario (nreionline.com)
On the surface, statements seem valid and perhaps are for individual properties and new construction plans. The structured financings inside management contracts and leases provide relatively stable cash flow for the real property owners and lenders that are the underlying financiers of the hotel industry....
Toby Kolstad, President
Toby Kolstad, President
Rail Theory Forecasts
Analysis of: Derailed Growth at FreightCar America (seekingalpha.com)
Per the author(s) of this blog, 10Q Detective, the prospects of increasing demand for railroad coal cars is not good and therefore the chances of accelerating growth at Freightcar America is also poor. There is so much that is wrong with this article and how it analyses the demand for new coal cars...
Toby Kolstad, President
Toby Kolstad, President
Rail Theory Forecasts
Analysis of: Rail: Operators choose parallel paths to the same destination (us.ft.com)
For almost 100 years, or since 1921 to be precise, the railroad industry has been shedding excess capacity and abandoning lines and terminals. For most of that time, unfortunately, it was also losing traffic to other modes of transportation, primarily to the trucking industry. It was only recently that...
Toby Kolstad, President
Toby Kolstad, President
Rail Theory Forecasts
Analysis of: Weak Economy Slows Cargo, Idles Railcars (biz.yahoo.com)
The decline in trailer and container shipments, especially those originating at West Coast ports, has resulted in a large surplus of railroad intermodal cars, specifically the doublestack well cars used to handle containerized imports. BNSF (NYSE:BNI) has been reported to have parked thousands of well...
Toby Kolstad, President
Toby Kolstad, President
Rail Theory Forecasts
Analysis of: CSX predicts higher earnings through 2010 (jacksonville.bizjournals.com)
Mike Ward said that CSX would continue to enjoy double digit earnings growth for another few years, and he put an exclamation point to his forecast by boosting the share buyback program and increasing the dividend on these shares outstanding. His inspiring words however, might just have been an opening...

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