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GLG News by Production Homebuilding Experts

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March 3, 2008
Hidden Homebuilding Assets
Analysis of: Decline in Home Prices Accelerates | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Homebuilding impairments and tax valuation reserves provide future accelerated income streams, when the recovery occurs.
March 3, 2008
Accelerated Reductions in Book Value
Analysis of: Decline in Home Prices Accelerates | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Issues associated with loss of income tax benefits result in accelerated reduction of book value in homebuilders.
March 3, 2008
Joint Venture Completion Agreements
Analysis of: Decline in Home Prices Accelerates | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Unforseen risks associated with homebuilder joint venture agreements and accompanying completion agreements.
Paul BurnsFebruary 26, 2008
How will Wall Street's failing financial poducts affect real estate values?
Analysis of: Hedge Fund Manager Devaney Returns to Subprime After Yacht Sale | www.bloomberg.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The press is reporting on defaulted CDO’s and CMBS’ and Credit Default Swaps endlessly these days.  The referenced article is just one of the many occurring in almost every business paper and publication.  Now Michael Lewis has reported in the latest issue of Portfolio reports on the options-pricing...
Dennis CisternaFebruary 26, 2008
No Bottoming Out Soon
Analysis of: Existing Home Sales Decline | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Dennis Cisterna, Principal, American Pacific Development
Unsold inventory is at an extremely high level, which will be increased significantly as mortgage foreclosures continue to ramp up through 2008.  The median home price has dropped only 4.6% year over year.  Even with historically low interest rates, the credit crunch will continue to suppress...
Paul BurnsFebruary 25, 2008
This ULI panel says retail space will change from malls to the next generation design
Analysis of: ULI Asks: 'Can Stand-Alone Malls Survive?' | www.globest.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Now a panel empowered by the U.L.I. has declared the old EMAC dead and the future of retailing to be provided in a planned environment housing not only retail but residents and the total commercial and industrial needs of the community.  Today that seems to mean that individual retail stores will...
February 19, 2008
IS THIS THE BEGINNING OF THE END?
Analysis of: The "R" Word | www.lvrj.com
Author: Steve Bottfeld, Principal, Marketing Solutions
The Las Vegas housing industry started the New Year with dismal sales volume, declining inventory and median prices that appear to be in the process of stabilizing.  In view of January’s housing statistics, this year may, in fact, have started with a good news/bad news scenario. The bad news came...
Paul BurnsFebruary 11, 2008
Notes on the Evolution of the Sub-Prime Solution
Analysis of: Preventing a Panic | www.usnews.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The Editorial referenced presents a picture of treasury risk that is not understood and therefore not ratable at this time. The combination of insurance underwriting failures and leverage and ultimate liability, however, at the worst threatens to bust institutions holding portfolios when the losses...
Paul BurnsFebruary 4, 2008
The Mall is in free-fall
Analysis of: Birth, Death and Shopping | www.economist.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
 The modern mall is a creature that is usually now 35 or so years old.  The birth and evolution of the industry is chronicled in the featured article.  Originally some 1600 strong, the breed now numbers say 1100 and will diminish further as the next era evolves.
Paul BurnsFebruary 4, 2008
The U.S. needs the basic housing product it last built n the 1940's
Analysis of: Home Affordability | www.marketwatch.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The featured commentary notes that even as home prices across the nation implode, affordability ratios are not moving in favor of the consumer.  Wages are lagging the increase in household budget items such as utility costs, food, transportation, gasoline and heating oil, communications services...

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