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GLG News by Production Homebuilding Experts

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June 5, 2008
CDD's aren't all their cracked up to be...
Analysis of: Residential real estate set to double | www.business24-7.ae
Author: Carl Streck, Principal, Trinity Development Group
For years developers were utilizing this public finance tool as a way to drive up their bottom line while passing on the infrastructure cost to the end homeowner. This is a thing of the past.
Anthony TrellaJune 2, 2008
Why is there no effort by the media to understand the DEMAND side of the housing industry?
Analysis of: The Truth Behind Florida's Housing Numbers | online.wsj.com
Author: Anthony Trella, CEO/President, The Meranth Company, Inc.
This article is just another example of somewhat reckless reporting by the “drive-by” media. Yes, there was excessive overbuilding of housing during the three years prior to 2006.  Yes, there is a huge number of empty or unsold housing that must be sold over the next few years.  This message...
Paul BurnsJune 2, 2008
Apartment investments are performing poorly in Phoenix now
Analysis of: Best time in years to be a renter | www.eastvalleytribune.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
When you combine rents set and projected at unrealistic levels and an economy where only 22% of jobs statewide pay $17 per hour plus benefits with a surplus of single family homes, you get high vacancy rates in apartment communities.  When the government is seeking higher tax revenue from income...
A. Ron EvangelistaMay 30, 2008
Aprtment starts/condos
Analysis of: Apartment Starts Will Trend Down After this Year, Held Low by Shadow Inventory, Condo-to-Rental Conversions, Says NAHB Economist | www.multihousingnews.com
Author: A. Ron Evangelista, Owner/Broker, Vantage Pointe International of Nevada, LLC
Las Vegas is in the midst of an explosion of Mega projects. The city is looking for 40,000+ new employess to fill jobs at these resorts. Where will these people live given the new mortgage parameters? Although apartment starts are somewhat down, the large number of condo buildings will provide...
May 29, 2008
Multifamily Is a Two-Sided Coin
Analysis of: Apartment Starts Will Trend Down After this Year, Held Low by Shadow Inventory, Condo-to-Rental Conversions, Says NAHB Economist | www.multihousingnews.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
We need to stop looking at the "multifamily market" as a single market. Clearly, given the current condominium market (or lack thereof), we need to talking in terms of rental apartments and for-sale condominium product, regardless of whether some of that condo product may temporarily be placed into...
May 20, 2008
The Beginning of The Beginning: Las Vegas turning the Corner
Analysis of: Housing Prices Going Lower | www.lvrj.com
Author: Steve Bottfeld, Principal, Marketing Solutions
To paraphrase Winston Churchill, April’s housing data for Las Vegas could be the “beginning of the beginning.”  undefined·      -----Prices of ALL new homes have reached a yearly high of $291,080 – just 9.3% below last April.  The price differential between 2008...
Anthony TrellaMay 19, 2008
South Florida Condominium Minefield -- Condominium Associations
Analysis of: Investor Report: Miami-Dade County | realtytimes.com
Author: Anthony Trella, CEO/President, The Meranth Company, Inc.
Buyers and Investors Beware:  In addition to determining values (prices), careful analysis of the financial conditions of Condominium Associations (CA's) must be prudently examined before purchasing.  
May 19, 2008
How to predict recovery time for your market
Analysis of: Vacancies Increase--not rentals...there are 2.3M empty homes | www.detnews.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
First, let me state the obvious:  recovery times will depend on which market you are talking about.  If you narrow down the question, I believe that you can make some reasonable predictions about the specific market you are analyzing.  While none of us has a crystal ball, knowledge...
May 15, 2008
Buyer Psyche Key
Analysis of: Vacancies Increase--not rentals...there are 2.3M empty homes | www.detnews.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Analysis about vacancies is accurate but doesn't account for regional differences, yet all markets are impacted suggesting that something else is at work.  That something is buyer psyche.
May 14, 2008
Continued Housing Difficulties
Analysis of: The Housing Crisis is Over | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
The housing bust is not over and trends continue to be negative.  The only positive activity is that homebuilding stocks have gone up, without a good reason.  We still have a ways to go to work through all this.

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