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GLG News by Production Homebuilding Experts

Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Double Trouble for Mortgage Shares (www.wsj.com)
I believe we will see a further significant downturn in housing prices which will follow an abundant oversupply of homes on the market produced by defaults over the next year.- Real estate broker volume may increase but home building and land development will be off.- The purchase side of mortgage banking...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
February 1, 2007
Is Bob Toll Right?
Analysis of: Mr. Toll Turns To Towers (www.wsj.com)
I believe we will now have a business downturn as result of reduced demand in the housing and auto industries and the debt service requirement on the federal budget.  I think China and other offshore sources have been funding our consumer spending with low interest rates when they advance funds...
A. Ron Evangelista, Owner/Broker
A. Ron Evangelista, Owner/Broker
Vantage Pointe International of Nevada, LLC
Analysis of: America's Best and Worst Housing Markets (www.forbes.com)
It is entirely believable that 2007 will be the year for Las Vegas starts to return to the kind of growth folks here have come to expect. The investors are gone, new home inventories are shrinking and the resale inventory is poised to be brought in line this year.The kinds of new home incentives that...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Blackstone Raises Stakes in EOP Battle (online.wsj.com)
No matter who the buyer is, I believe this is the last tough deal in an out of control market.  Mr. Roth at Vornado says that every deal he didn’t buy in the last decade was a mistake and he is right.  Nevertheless, he’s probably going to regret this one of he keeps overbidding to win. ...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Inland Empire’s affordability takes a steep drop (www.latimes.com)
Here’s more evidence that we’re not at any bottom in the residential market and that more hard times are ahead.
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
January 24, 2007
It’s Clear Now!
Analysis of: Mall REIT Warns That It Might Be Forced Into Bankruptcy (www.nytimes.com)
Mills Says Accounting Errors Caused by Misconduct www.bloomberg.com MILLS CORP. CEO SAYS NO HIDDEN PROBLEMS (article) www.tribune.com | Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT)" href="http://news.glgroup.com/cm/Analysis/Browse.aspx?a=aj&rxid=11127">...>Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT) Transparency...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
January 22, 2007
You Can Count On Change.
Analysis of: Toyota eyes U.S. buildup (www.latimes.com)
This is just the beginning of a trend as we move our economy ahead in capital goods and other manufacturing areas.  About 40% of our industrial property inventory is devoted to manufacturing as opposed to warehousing or speculative flex space.  This manufacturing percentage has been decreasing...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Great Mall paving a path to shoppers’ changing needs (www.mercurynews.com)
The key to the future success of the Mills’ properties lies with the releasing and renovation programs which will increase sales volumes and the profitability of tenants. The rents will then accelerate and the return on the investment will provide a greater residual to the land/equity. This is the story...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Survey: Commercial real estate market holding up better than residential (sanantonio.bizjournals.com)
Residential development in the far past over a quarter century ago followed jobs.  Aerospace in Southern California, electronics in Phoenix, aircraft and software in Seattle, Disney in Anaheim and Orlando and gaming in Las Vegas were the stimulus for job growth and resulting homebuilding. ...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: HOME DEPOT DRAWS PROXY THREAT FROM INVESTORS (www.wsj.com)
Old adages just keep turning up.  This company is being done in by the autocratic attitude of its now ex-CEO and the continuing concentration of power in the hands of Private Equity Capital.  Mr. Nardelli just wasn’t nice and when they could, the investors whined him out.  His results...

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