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October 23, 2008Res Capped Out
Analysis of: GMAC Struggles With Financing | www.nytimes.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
This is not surprising. GM/GMAC has been dealing with diminishing liquidity going back to the creation of Residential Capital Corporation in 2006.
October 17, 2008Are Consumers Paying Down Debt?
Analysis of: Consumers Pay Down Debt For First Time In 10 Years | www.marketwatch.com
Author: John Burns, President, John Burns Real Estate Consulting, Inc.
Consumer borrowing has decreased for the first time in over 10 years as outstanding revolving and non-revolving credit fell in August. This may be an indication that Americans are pulling back on spending as the financial and housing markets continue to deteriorate.
October 14, 2008Automotive industry competition, more not less
Analysis of: GM, Ford SharesHit New Lows As Sentiment Fades Further | online.wsj.com
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
More competition, not less is required within the automotive industry. Positive results will eventually be rewarded by a free market.
October 13, 2008
It's the loans, not the deposits
Analysis of: Wells Fargo scuppers Citigroup's takeover of Wachovia | www.guardian.co.uk
Author: Joe Garrett, Principal Consultant, Garrett, Watts & Co
It's the loans, not the deposits
Analysis of: Wells Fargo scuppers Citigroup's takeover of Wachovia | www.guardian.co.uk
Author: Joe Garrett, Principal Consultant, Garrett, Watts & Co
Sometimes you don't want to get what you've been hoping for. Wachovia has a top deposit gathering franchise, and they clearly help complete much of the Wells Fargo footprint.
October 10, 2008Mortgage Insurance .. Helped Today, Gone Tomorrow?
Analysis of: Rescue Sunday | online.wsj.com
Author: Douglas Rossbach, Partner, Rossbach Consulting
The mortgage insurance industry would appear to benefit from the latest government actions to inject liquidity into the credit markets and reduce foreclosures. After all, anything that will stem the drop in housing prices and prop up the economy should reduce mortgage defaults and mortgage insurance...
September 30, 2008
Blame the models and Risk Based Pricing
Analysis of: Why Risk Models Failed to Spot the Credit Crisis by Adam Davidson | www.npr.org
Author: Joseph Smith, President & CEO, Default Mitigation Management
Blame the models and Risk Based Pricing
Analysis of: Why Risk Models Failed to Spot the Credit Crisis by Adam Davidson | www.npr.org
Author: Joseph Smith, President & CEO, Default Mitigation Management
Models only cover certain variables and the crisis involved much more than mortgage pricing and a few macroeconomic issues. Risked based pricing as used in the mortgage industry had an underlying flaw that caused the models to fail. Greed played the other part.
September 29, 2008
WAMU CLOSED: SOLD TO JP MORGAN CHASE FOR $1.9 BILLION
Analysis of: WaMu Becomes Biggest Bank to Fail In US History | news.yahoo.com
Author: Kamala Worthington, Former VP, Marketing Product Manager, Bank of America Corporation
WAMU CLOSED: SOLD TO JP MORGAN CHASE FOR $1.9 BILLION
Analysis of: WaMu Becomes Biggest Bank to Fail In US History | news.yahoo.com
Author: Kamala Worthington, Former VP, Marketing Product Manager, Bank of America Corporation
Rumors had been swirling over the last few weeks that WAMU was shopping for a buyer, however, the OTS (the Office of Thrift Supervision) couldn't allow WAMU to continue its operations under constraints of deposit outflows exceeding $16 billion in the last week or so and JP Morgan Chase becomes the benefactor...
September 22, 2008
How to fix the Economy (without it costing too much)
Analysis of: Will the Levee Break? An Ocean of Bad Debt Rises despite Fed Rescues | knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu
Author: James Butler, President, Rigley Financial Corporation
How to fix the Economy (without it costing too much)
Analysis of: Will the Levee Break? An Ocean of Bad Debt Rises despite Fed Rescues | knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu
Author: James Butler, President, Rigley Financial Corporation
The recently proposed bailout was an inevitable solution to a ever-growing problem. The $800B will be the most costly endevour by the U.S. government since The New Deal proposal from the Great Depression.
The key to the issue at-hand is two fold: first, the stabilization of the real estate prices....
September 18, 2008
Out of the Frying pan... HBoS is both opportunity and burden for LTSB?
Analysis of: Lloyds and HBOS in merger talks | uk.news.yahoo.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Analysis of: Lloyds and HBOS in merger talks | uk.news.yahoo.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Capital and liquidity scarcity in the combined bank will force the total franchsie to shrink with further implications on the UK housing market in particular as Lloyds manages down its inhereted property exposures. With growth constrained, the prize for LLoyds will be two fold - realising cost...
September 18, 2008Be wary of synthetic markets
Analysis of: Leveraged Loan Risk Rises on Lehman Auction, LevX Index Shows | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
The analysis in this article is generally on point, but keep in mind this is a synthetic market.
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Source Article | Expert Analyses
U.S. Steps Up Help for Homeowners
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www.businessweek.com
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www.bloomberg.com
Credit card firms attacked for hiking rates to 17%
www.timesonline.co.uk
China announces $586 billion stimulus plan
ap.google.com
Should the Government Help Homeowners?
November 18, 2008
The Next Shoe to Fall
November 13, 2008
Seek out the dissenters and chuck out their silencers
November 11, 2008
Here We Go Again
November 10, 2008
TRUST BUT VERIFY
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