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September 30, 2008
Blame the models and Risk Based Pricing
Analysis of: Why Risk Models Failed to Spot the Credit Crisis by Adam Davidson | www.npr.org
Author: Joseph Smith, President & CEO, Default Mitigation Management
Blame the models and Risk Based Pricing
Analysis of: Why Risk Models Failed to Spot the Credit Crisis by Adam Davidson | www.npr.org
Author: Joseph Smith, President & CEO, Default Mitigation Management
Models only cover certain variables and the crisis involved much more than mortgage pricing and a few macroeconomic issues. Risked based pricing as used in the mortgage industry had an underlying flaw that caused the models to fail. Greed played the other part.
September 29, 2008
WAMU CLOSED: SOLD TO JP MORGAN CHASE FOR $1.9 BILLION
Analysis of: WaMu Becomes Biggest Bank to Fail In US History | news.yahoo.com
Author: Kamala Worthington, Former VP, Marketing Product Manager, Bank of America Corporation
WAMU CLOSED: SOLD TO JP MORGAN CHASE FOR $1.9 BILLION
Analysis of: WaMu Becomes Biggest Bank to Fail In US History | news.yahoo.com
Author: Kamala Worthington, Former VP, Marketing Product Manager, Bank of America Corporation
Rumors had been swirling over the last few weeks that WAMU was shopping for a buyer, however, the OTS (the Office of Thrift Supervision) couldn't allow WAMU to continue its operations under constraints of deposit outflows exceeding $16 billion in the last week or so and JP Morgan Chase becomes the benefactor...
September 22, 2008
How to fix the Economy (without it costing too much)
Analysis of: Will the Levee Break? An Ocean of Bad Debt Rises despite Fed Rescues | knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu
Author: James Butler, President, Rigley Financial Corporation
How to fix the Economy (without it costing too much)
Analysis of: Will the Levee Break? An Ocean of Bad Debt Rises despite Fed Rescues | knowledge.wharton.upenn.edu
Author: James Butler, President, Rigley Financial Corporation
The recently proposed bailout was an inevitable solution to a ever-growing problem. The $800B will be the most costly endevour by the U.S. government since The New Deal proposal from the Great Depression.
The key to the issue at-hand is two fold: first, the stabilization of the real estate prices....
September 18, 2008
Out of the Frying pan... HBoS is both opportunity and burden for LTSB?
Analysis of: Lloyds and HBOS in merger talks | uk.news.yahoo.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Analysis of: Lloyds and HBOS in merger talks | uk.news.yahoo.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Capital and liquidity scarcity in the combined bank will force the total franchsie to shrink with further implications on the UK housing market in particular as Lloyds manages down its inhereted property exposures. With growth constrained, the prize for LLoyds will be two fold - realising cost...
September 18, 2008Be wary of synthetic markets
Analysis of: Leveraged Loan Risk Rises on Lehman Auction, LevX Index Shows | www.bloomberg.com
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
The analysis in this article is generally on point, but keep in mind this is a synthetic market.
September 15, 2008Southern California Mortgage Lending Rates Drop
Analysis of: Mortgage market improves with new market-leading deals | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Effective immediately after the Fannie/Freddie take over, the DITECH origination service of Cerberus' GMAC Financial Services launched a television campaign to offer 5.5% interest rate mortgage loans.
September 15, 2008The Bear Sterns Equity Strip Model
Analysis of: Lehman Brothers faces Korean takeover bid | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: Mark Mariotti, CEO, Future Management Holdings Inc
Unlikely that a suitor firm will take over Lehman directly by itself without assistance, perks or partners. As you may recall Bear Stearns in a similar situation, and remember that the Feds had to lend and assist JP Morgan with the acquisition.
September 12, 2008
What to expect from the bailout.
Analysis of: U.S. bails out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, ousts CEOs | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Joseph Smith, President & CEO, Default Mitigation Management
What to expect from the bailout.
Analysis of: U.S. bails out Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, ousts CEOs | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Joseph Smith, President & CEO, Default Mitigation Management
1. Shows how truly bad the mortgage industry has gotten and how scared the feds are of where we are going.
2. If the major source of liquidity can not survive, who will?
3. What should be the outcome.
September 11, 2008
GSE Takeover Will Not Materially Reduce Mortgage Interest Rates
Analysis of: Government GSE Takeover Could Reduce Cost of Mortgages | www.bigbuilderonline.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Analysis of: Government GSE Takeover Could Reduce Cost of Mortgages | www.bigbuilderonline.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
The GSE takeover will not significantly reduce mortgage interest rates. The GSEs will now be focused on propping up the U.S. economy--not on prudent lending and risk-based pricing.
September 11, 2008Good Idea, Wrong Justification
Analysis of: Lehman Brothers faces Korean takeover bid | www.timesonline.co.uk
Author: John Jukoski, Former First VP & Director of Collateral Analysis, Federal Home Loan Bank of Atlanta
KDB in this case is playing the role of the blind squirrel who finds a nut. It is wise to invest opportunistically, in ventures that are cheap, WHEN YOU UNDERSTAND THAT YOU ARE NOT KNOWLEDGEBLE IN HOW TO RUN THESE BUSINESSES.
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Source Article | Expert Analyses
Apple falls on consumer spending fears
www.ft.com
Why Risk Models Failed to Spot the Credit Crisis by Adam Davidson
www.npr.org
The Trickle-Up Bailout
www.washingtonpost.com
Residential Mortgage Appraisal Should Consider Income Approach
The end of the Euro
www.berninger.de
$700 Billion Bailout Attacks The Symptoms Not The Cause
October 3, 2008
Apple is Positioned for the Future!
October 3, 2008
Blame the models and Risk Based Pricing
September 30, 2008
Don't Blame the Models
September 29, 2008
Providing Liquidity is like a Botox injection!
September 24, 2008

