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Models only cover certain variables and the crisis involved much more than mortgage pricing and a few macroeconomic issues. Risked based pricing as used in the mortgage industry had an underlying flaw that caused the models to fail. Greed played the other part.
The recently proposed bailout was an inevitable solution to a ever-growing problem. The $800B will be the most costly endevour by the U.S. government since The New Deal proposal from the Great Depression.
The key to the issue at-hand is two fold: first, the stabilization of the real estate prices....
Effective immediately after the Fannie/Freddie take over, the DITECH origination service of Cerberus' GMAC Financial Services launched a television campaign to offer 5.5% interest rate mortgage loans.
The GSEs succeeded in supporting the creation of a broad, deep, liquid national market for mortgages. They used their market power to impose standardization on mortgage terms and underwriting. Thus was born the "conforming mortgage."
Mortgage insurance is an artifact of this history. ...
Unlikely that a suitor firm will take over Lehman directly by itself without assistance, perks or partners. As you may recall Bear Stearns in a similar situation, and remember that the Feds had to lend and assist JP Morgan with the acquisition.
The GSEs succeeded in supporting the creation of a broad, deep, liquid national market for mortgages. They used their market power to impose standardization on mortgage terms and underwriting. Thus was born the "conforming mortgage."
Mortgage insurance is an artifact of this history. ...
1. Shows how truly bad the mortgage industry has gotten and how scared the feds are of where we are going.
2. If the major source of liquidity can not survive, who will?
3. What should be the outcome.
The GSEs succeeded in supporting the creation of a broad, deep, liquid national market for mortgages. They used their market power to impose standardization on mortgage terms and underwriting. Thus was born the "conforming mortgage."
Mortgage insurance is an artifact of this history. ...
The GSE takeover will not significantly reduce mortgage interest rates. The GSEs will now be focused on propping up the U.S. economy--not on prudent lending and risk-based pricing.