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GLG News by Metallurgical Coal Experts

Craig Marston, Managing Director
Craig Marston, Managing Director
CEM Marine
December 20, 2007
Horizon Dodges A Bullet
Analysis of: Horizon rebounds (www.tradewinds.no)
Some slick congressional maneuvering yanked the threat of excluding income from Puerto Rico from tonnage tax eligibility, at least for the moment.  It will be interesting to see what happens now.
Thomas Shewski, Owner
High Energy Services
Analysis of: Surging Asian Coal Consumption Lifts U.S. Prices (money.cnn.com)
    There are many production-related issues that point to a bullish coal market in 2008 and 2009.      The commentary section below discusses these bullish signals.
Thomas Shewski, Owner
High Energy Services
Analysis of: Coal Dust Problems Could Raise CU Bills (www.news-leader.com)
    The Wyoming Powder River Basin (PRB) Joint Line in May 2005 experienced two major derailments believed by the BNSF and the Union Pacific to be attributable to coal falling off the coal railcars on this rail line and fouling the ballast and preventing proper drainage.  Coal...
Craig Marston, Managing Director
Craig Marston, Managing Director
CEM Marine
Analysis of: Spill boosts double-hull hopes (www.tradewinds.no)
The spill from the VLCC Hebei Spirit in South Korean waters has spiked rates in the short-term, but fundamentals will correct this for most of 2008 and 2009.  However, the event increases the likelihood that major Asian countries will abide by the 2010 IMO single-hull phaseout date.
Thomas Shewski, Owner
High Energy Services
Analysis of: Newcastle Coal Exports Dip, Waiting Time Eases (economictimes.indiatimes.com)
    Thermal coal into Europe continues to be above $100/tonne (metric ton) for 2008 as measured by the API 2 Index into Northern Europe.  It is up ~67% from prices for this same period quoted at the beginning of 2007.       The commentary calculates...
Gene Plavnik, President
Gene Plavnik, President
Heat Technologies Inc
Analysis of: Ingersoll in $10 Billion Deal for Trane (dealbook.blogs.nytimes.com)
Today's HVAC equipment experiences unprecedent need for delivering more efficient and original solutions for residential and commercial applications due to the sharp increase of energy costs, even though, all of the eqiupment sold in North America is guided by standards set and enforced by the US Department...
Craig Marston, Managing Director
Craig Marston, Managing Director
CEM Marine
Analysis of: Opec output rising (www.tradewinds.no)
Indications that OPEC could increase production by 460,000 bpd over the next four weeks, coupled by arbitrage movements from the Arabian Gulf to the US West Coast have impacted against a relatively tight vessel position situation to push VLCC rates up to $200,000/day.
Gene Plavnik, President
Gene Plavnik, President
Heat Technologies Inc
Analysis of: Steel Partners Presses Noritz to Improve (www.ft.com)
As of last ten years, HVAC industry has proven to be very dynamic. Water heaters segment of the industry experiences changes that go along with industry major drivers and real estate trends. In the segment of water heaters it is tank type and tankless type units. Noritz is known in North America as...
Craig Marston, Managing Director
Craig Marston, Managing Director
CEM Marine
Analysis of: Horizon responds (www.tradewinds.no)
Horizon Lines (NYS:HRZ) is attempting to fight the technical corrections bill working its way through Congress that would retroactively eliminate the eligibility of Puerto Rico trade from inclusion in the tonnage tax.  They will not be successful.
Craig Marston, Managing Director
Craig Marston, Managing Director
CEM Marine
Analysis of: Scramble to fix as VLCC rates swell (www.tradewinds.no)
The dormant Tanker market regained some of the spotlight last week when rates abruptly climbed to $140k/day from a low of $20k/day in October.  High rates are unlikely to persist beyond the end of the year.

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