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March 10, 2008Here’s the Government Bailout we’ll need to restore economic order
Analysis of: The Banker’s Bailout | www.portfolio.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
It’s preposterous to think that our real estate, homebuilding and home lending industries could with government approval in the last ten years have created the losses which threaten to upset the entire financial system of this county in a manner which may eclipse the thirties.
March 6, 2008Contrasting opinions about the housing market – are these guys on the same planet?
Analysis of: The Haunted Housing Market | www.usnews.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The Editor-In-Chief of U.S. News & World Report is torn between the development business and journalism. Most often such divided efforts might result in mediocre results in both areas, but in this case Mr. Zuckerman has been outstandingly successful at both endeavors. So his words to...
February 26, 2008How will Wall Street's failing financial poducts affect real estate values?
Analysis of: Hedge Fund Manager Devaney Returns to Subprime After Yacht Sale | www.bloomberg.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The press is reporting on defaulted CDO’s and CMBS’ and Credit Default Swaps endlessly these days. The referenced article is just one of the many occurring in almost every business paper and publication. Now Michael Lewis has reported in the latest issue of Portfolio reports on the options-pricing...
February 26, 2008No Bottoming Out Soon
Analysis of: Existing Home Sales Decline | biz.yahoo.com
Author: Dennis Cisterna, Principal, American Pacific Development
Unsold inventory is at an extremely high level, which will be increased significantly as mortgage foreclosures continue to ramp up through 2008. The median home price has dropped only 4.6% year over year. Even with historically low interest rates, the credit crunch will continue to suppress...
February 25, 2008This ULI panel says retail space will change from malls to the next generation design
Analysis of: ULI Asks: 'Can Stand-Alone Malls Survive?' | www.globest.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Now a panel empowered by the U.L.I. has declared the old EMAC dead and the future of retailing to be provided in a planned environment housing not only retail but residents and the total commercial and industrial needs of the community. Today that seems to mean that individual retail stores will...
February 11, 2008Notes on the Evolution of the Sub-Prime Solution
Analysis of: Preventing a Panic | www.usnews.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The Editorial referenced presents a picture of treasury risk that is not understood and therefore not ratable at this time. The combination of insurance underwriting failures and leverage and ultimate liability, however, at the worst threatens to bust institutions holding portfolios when the losses...
February 4, 2008The Mall is in free-fall
Analysis of: Birth, Death and Shopping | www.economist.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The modern mall is a creature that is usually now 35 or so years old. The birth and evolution of the industry is chronicled in the featured article. Originally some 1600 strong, the breed now numbers say 1100 and will diminish further as the next era evolves.
February 4, 2008The U.S. needs the basic housing product it last built n the 1940's
Analysis of: Home Affordability | www.marketwatch.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The featured commentary notes that even as home prices across the nation implode, affordability ratios are not moving in favor of the consumer. Wages are lagging the increase in household budget items such as utility costs, food, transportation, gasoline and heating oil, communications services...
January 28, 2008What's happening on the border?
Analysis of: Tijuana Mayhem | www.signonsandiego.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
At the same time the subject article was running, the New York Times and Los Angeles Times printed articles about the Federales pursuing the gangs on Tijuana’s streets and the mayor taking gunfire at home. This vast country of say 50+ million is looking more and more like its third world cousins...
January 22, 2008Contrasting housing markets
Analysis of: New housing outlook: 5 years to recover | www.azcentral.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Finally we have the first forecast of a housing recovery that seems believable. The five year forecast for Phoenix appeals to my sense of reality and I agree. I also agree that we will forget the current pain and euphoria will reign again.
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NAR--Not At-all Realistic
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WITH FRIENDS LIKE THIS, TARGET DOESN'T NEED ENEMIES
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IT'S STARTING!
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