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GLG News by Land Option Contracts Experts: Homebuilders (US)

Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: What Blackstone Bet Means for Real Estate Investors (online.wsj.com)
The Zell money is assured of a reasonable profit at the close of the transaction.  Blackstone’s investors are a lot less certain to profit.  The buy is huge and comes after a long expansion of the economy.  The exit price here will depend on increases in rents.  You’ll need a similarly...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
November 27, 2006
High–Rise Mania
Analysis of: High-rise condos sprouting: Luxury residences in San Francisco are plentiful as developers jump into market sector that hasn't slowed (sfgate.com)
The long lag time for approval and development of high rise residential for sale product leads developers from a potentially profitable but small market niche to potentially disastrous construction.  Developers armed with yesterday’s market forecasts have made development decisions on projects...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: A brisk rise in American wages (www.csmonitor.com)
Americans want to buy bigger and better perimeter detached houses or urban infill condos.  The housing industry now produces new homes at an average 2400 sq. ft.  Move-up housing buyers dream of ever bigger and finer designs.  Intricate designs are more expensive even when mass produced. ...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Still No Shortage of Capital Chasing Real Estate (www.globest.com)
I agree.  Just look to the history of the financial troubles in Japan and Korea over the last thirty years.
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Ultimate Fighting Machines (www.business2.com)
Time after time the same thing happens.  Young men with an excess of testosterone see reality as being different from the status quo.  They bet on it and for some the winnings are huge in business.  The clarity they see the potential results with is amazing.  Or is it that they have...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: The New Rules of Real Estate (money.cnn.com)
What goes up fastest may sometimes have to come down hardest in the housing business. This article points out the suspected offenders under the heading “Where Not To Buy”.  The common problems here are employment and affordability issues.  The affordability issues go right back to employment...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
November 15, 2006
Depend On This Leg!
Analysis of: New Report: Occupancy Growth Hits a Wall (www.nreionline.com)
There are four legs which increase the worth of real estate investments.  You can buy/build it for less, operate it for less, rent more of it or charge higher rents.  If you miss on one, the others have to work harder at the job.  It looks like we’re going to be working with less than...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Once Safe, Public Pensions are Now Facing Cuts (www.nytimes.com)
The liquidity so near and dear to us in real estate is being stressed.  The public pension funds are the big guns in the institutional market.  Their sponsors at the State, County and Municipal level have promised more to workers than they can deliver.  The government entities are beginning...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Time To Move On? (www.forbes.com)
Consider these thoughts. The average annual sales volume per agent for this company was almost $ 3.7 million in 2005.  Each seat then at the average 72 agent office generated over $ 180,000 in gross fees at the average 5 % fee Long and Foster generated last year.  The average agent carried...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
November 7, 2006
Oh, Oh!
Analysis of: Pulte fired 800 U.S. workers in 3rd-qtr (yahoo.reuters.com)
Pulte and other big public home builders are just doing what they know how to do from experience in a slower market. The private builders among the largest say 200 are lagging the publics, but expect the same results there if not now then soon. The National Association of Realtors is accelerating its...

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