GLG News by Land Option Contracts Experts: Homebuilders (US)
Analysis of:
Has The Bull Market Just Started? (www.forbes.com)
Commercial real estate pricing is accelerating because investors have money to spend:
1.This capital is drawn from the national coffers by increasing the amount of debt versus equity – in other words, we are leveraging our national economic future for this market;
2.The leverage shown throughout...
Analysis of:
No denying mortgage crisis will worsen (www.signonsandiego.com)
The mortgage market will benefit from:
1. A new sub-prime industry with an equity requirement for buyers;
2. The resurgence of the FHA;
3. Attractive lender financing for foreclosed property.
Analysis of:
Subprime Meltdown (www.wsj.com)
Here’s what the future holds:
1. Accelerated foreclosures/deeds in lieu/short sales leading to record inventories of unsold houses and for-sale pricing crashes nationwide;
2. The inability of home builders, land developers and leveraged land investors/speculators to hold their positions...
Analysis of:
Freddie Mac to toughen mortgage Standards (ww.usatoday.com)
The evidence piled up last week to support:
1. The premise that housing prices will plummet as foreclosures rise, loans to facilitate housing purchases will become more dear as to terms if not cost and affordability is stretched further by energy, food and healthcare costs;
2. ...
Analysis of:
Single Women Head For Homes (www.sacbee.com)
The contention of interest proposed here is that single women are generally interested in purchasing a home and that the home of choice is most often a smaller and more affordable unit. OK, so I added the more affordable part, but I think you’ll grant me the inclusion. A lot of attention...
Analysis of:
Lenders told foreclosure picture grim (www.signonsandiego.com)
The results of all this will be an implosion of prices in most markets. I can make a case for New York City and Washington D.C., but the affordability there is so low that I think I’d be wrong to make the point. Last year I was momentarily high on Las Vegas and I was wrong, so I’m reluctant...
Analysis of:
Builders Gain Confidence in Prospects for Home Sales (www.nbnnews.com)
There are signs that support a growing return of cautious optimism among homebuilders. Surveys of builders, including the just reported National Association of Homebuilders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, show measurable improvement in their confidence level. Although this is strongest among single...
Analysis of:
Blackstone Gets $3 billion for L.A. - Area Buildings, Person says (www.bloomberg.com)
This deal and its successors are the beginnings of the next trend in the office building market. The underlying thought here for all the investors is that there will be quantum rent increases in the near term. Never mind that these buildings are the repository of all the business risks of...
Analysis of:
Prices, not the press, help move sales (www.signonsandiego.com)
I continue to think that we are a minimum 18 months away from a resolution or recovery in our housing market. And I don’t think we have reached a bottom. We haven’t seen a glimmer of stabilization in our major home builders. I think this will be confirmed when these companies show...
Analysis of:
Mills To Pursue Simon and Farallon Bid (www.globest.com)
The combination of an institutional investor already at major risk in a transaction plus a professional developer/manager with a great industry record has the best opportunity for success in this turnaround. I remember also that Simon in the past had a major investment in Mills which it withdrew. ...
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