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GLG News by Land Brokerage Experts (California)

Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: A lot riding on Anaheim housing vote (www.latimes.com)
When you have a median housing value of say $ 650,000 and a location where the existing housing stock approximates the median, you have an opportunity to sell attached housing at $ 350,000 to $ 400,000 per copy when the supply is otherwise constrained.
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
February 12, 2007
Here's Your Answer!
Analysis of: Homebuilders Hammered. Time for M&A? (www.businessweek.com)
I believe there is more pain to go in the housing market including serious defaults where home and land prices will implode.  I believe you won’t see the turn until 2008 and even then not until the latter half.  And I think the turn will stabilize at a lower overall construction number since...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: There’s still room for real estate funds to roam (www.usatoday.com)
As the article points out, REIT stocks have doubled on average in the last three years.  No doubt that in the mid 1990’s, commercial real estate was out-of-favor – for a song prices.  But dividend yields are now at 3.78 % - negative leverage to the private exit buyers.  So REIT investors...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Brookfield Deal for Mills May Not End Drama (www.wsj.com)
Brookfield has offered $ 156.25 per sq. ft. for the 48 million sq. feet in the remaining 38 shopping centers in the Mills portfolio.  Eighteen percent of the cost in cash will be paid at closing.  I believe that the deal will not return historical costs to the shareholders and reproduction...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Double Trouble for Mortgage Shares (www.wsj.com)
I believe we will see a further significant downturn in housing prices which will follow an abundant oversupply of homes on the market produced by defaults over the next year.- Real estate broker volume may increase but home building and land development will be off.- The purchase side of mortgage banking...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
February 1, 2007
Is Bob Toll Right?
Analysis of: Mr. Toll Turns To Towers (www.wsj.com)
I believe we will now have a business downturn as result of reduced demand in the housing and auto industries and the debt service requirement on the federal budget.  I think China and other offshore sources have been funding our consumer spending with low interest rates when they advance funds...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Blackstone Raises Stakes in EOP Battle (online.wsj.com)
No matter who the buyer is, I believe this is the last tough deal in an out of control market.  Mr. Roth at Vornado says that every deal he didn’t buy in the last decade was a mistake and he is right.  Nevertheless, he’s probably going to regret this one of he keeps overbidding to win. ...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Inland Empire’s affordability takes a steep drop (www.latimes.com)
Here’s more evidence that we’re not at any bottom in the residential market and that more hard times are ahead.
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
January 24, 2007
It’s Clear Now!
Analysis of: Mall REIT Warns That It Might Be Forced Into Bankruptcy (www.nytimes.com)
Mills Says Accounting Errors Caused by Misconduct www.bloomberg.com MILLS CORP. CEO SAYS NO HIDDEN PROBLEMS (article) www.tribune.com | Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT)" href="http://news.glgroup.com/cm/Analysis/Browse.aspx?a=aj&rxid=11127">...>Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT) Transparency...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
January 22, 2007
You Can Count On Change.
Analysis of: Toyota eyes U.S. buildup (www.latimes.com)
This is just the beginning of a trend as we move our economy ahead in capital goods and other manufacturing areas.  About 40% of our industrial property inventory is devoted to manufacturing as opposed to warehousing or speculative flex space.  This manufacturing percentage has been decreasing...

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