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May 12, 2008The Housing Crisis is Over? Not in Phoenix
Analysis of: The Housing Crisis is Over | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
Mr. Moulle-Berteaux seems to lack is an in-the-streets perspective.The housing market will shrink and prices will decline further before the Phoenix metro housing market hits bottom.
May 9, 2008
Management is Key in Challenging Times
Analysis of: Land writedown hits DR Horton | uk.biz.yahoo.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Analysis of: Land writedown hits DR Horton | uk.biz.yahoo.com
Author: GLG Expert Contributor
Senior Management is the key to successfully navigating through challenging market conditions. Many companies have become lazy in their staffing, with 3-4 people covering 2-3 jobs. In challenging economic times, it is frequently necessary to re-tool the staffing of an orgnization to have 2-3 people...
May 6, 2008
Direct Expensing of Interest by Homebuilders
Analysis of: Hidden Mortgage Risks Abound in U.S. Home Market | www.bloomberg.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Direct Expensing of Interest by Homebuilders
Analysis of: Hidden Mortgage Risks Abound in U.S. Home Market | www.bloomberg.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Not capitalizing interest in inventory causes acceleration of losses and deterioration of book value.
May 1, 2008The Future of Florida's Municipal Golf Courses
Analysis of: How Green is Golf? | www.golfdigest.com
Author: Howard Liggett, President and CEO, Distressed Real Estate Consulting Services, Inc.
Foreclosures,tax increases,land devaluations and a sour economic outlook for the remainder 2008 have forced municipalities and counties to look at fat trimming measures which hurt the least number of citizens. The recently passed Amendment One forces local governments to limit tax increases...
May 1, 2008Real Commercial/Income Property Values in the U.S.
Analysis of: Shrinking Values, Growing Anxiety | nreionline.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The points of this article that I find important are the comments regarding property owners running out of money/cash in the commercial property sectors as they have in the homebuilding arena, and the comments regarding the overall strength and performance of the companies that form the...
May 1, 2008The Great Recession Coming
Analysis of: It’s (Really) The Economy, Stupid | www.portfolio.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
It appears that we have been doing nothing economically during the current administration except gorging in a huge consumption and speculative binge and conducting war in the Middle East. The subject article proposes that we will pay for this during the next administration and beyond as we rebuild...
April 24, 2008
ARE HOMEBUILDING STOCK PRICE INCREASES PREMATURE?
Analysis of: Construction Companies Are Clamoring for Managers | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
ARE HOMEBUILDING STOCK PRICE INCREASES PREMATURE?
Analysis of: Construction Companies Are Clamoring for Managers | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Recently, stock prices of most public homebuilders have increased 20-30 percent. This despite no visible signs of improvement in the overall housing industry. It seems early in the cycle for these stock price upward movements, as it appears the housing market has not yet found bottom. ...
April 24, 2008
IMPAIRMENT REVERSALS – IMPACT ON COST OF GOODS SOLD
Analysis of: New-Homes Supply Builds; Durable Goods Orders Slide | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
IMPAIRMENT REVERSALS – IMPACT ON COST OF GOODS SOLD
Analysis of: New-Homes Supply Builds; Durable Goods Orders Slide | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Homebuilders have recorded large inventory impairments over the last couple of years. Most of these impairments have been for land and lots. As these previously impaired lots are built on and a completed home is delivered, the land component as a percentage of Cost of Goods Sold may decline...
April 22, 2008Will Rogers was REIT~Buy Land;Especially Residential
Analysis of: The REIT Time? | www.forbes.com
Author: Howard Liggett, President and CEO, Distressed Real Estate Consulting Services, Inc.
The nation's homebuilders have an enormous inventory problem and it is not limited to only completed homes sitting idle on the market. Many builder-developers with planned for housing communities have seen the blueprints shelved as existing home sales have stalled and new homes garner little more...
April 22, 2008
TURNING THE CORNER?
Analysis of: Study: Few can afford homes in LV | www.lvrj.com
Author: Steve Bottfeld, Principal, Marketing Solutions
TURNING THE CORNER?
Analysis of: Study: Few can afford homes in LV | www.lvrj.com
Author: Steve Bottfeld, Principal, Marketing Solutions
March Las Vegas housing results can best be described as mildly disappointing. Although prices remained relatively stable and inventory continued decline, surprisingly, sales did not improve significantly. Although sales did not increase in March, there is sufficient anecdotal evidence (increasing...
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Source Article | Expert Analyses
Some Fear Commercial Property Loans Will Be Next Stage in Downturn
www.nytimes.com
July Existing-Home Sales Show Gain
www.realtor.org
Cash Flow More Volatile but Still Stable: Fitch CMBS Study
www.cpnonline.com
An Economy on the Brink
www.usnews.com
EMPLOYMENT: Open season for jobs
www.lvrj.com
When data is vague or inconclusive, look at the real world
August 28, 2008
The other side of the coin
August 28, 2008
FINANCIALS SHOT IN THE FOOT
August 26, 2008
Once again the major rating agencies are getting it wrong
August 20, 2008
LAS VEGAS: REAL ESTATE RECOVERY UNDERWAY?
August 19, 2008

