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GLG News by Land Banking Experts (US)

Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Mills To Pursue Simon and Farallon Bid (www.globest.com)
The combination of an institutional investor already at major risk in a transaction plus a professional developer/manager with a great industry record has the best opportunity for success in this turnaround.  I remember also that Simon in the past had a major investment in Mills which it withdrew. ...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: A lot riding on Anaheim housing vote (www.latimes.com)
When you have a median housing value of say $ 650,000 and a location where the existing housing stock approximates the median, you have an opportunity to sell attached housing at $ 350,000 to $ 400,000 per copy when the supply is otherwise constrained.
Howard Liggett, President and CEO
Howard Liggett, President and CEO
Distressed Real Estate Consulting Services, Inc.
Analysis of: Foreclosure rates up big in December (money.cnn.com)
 "One man's misery is another man's good fortune." This maxim from a 20th Century agronomist lamenting the Oklahoma drought of the 1930's continues to hold true today.  Les Christies' January 17, 2007 piece for CNNMoney.com places blame for the dramatic rise in mortgage foreclosures...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
February 12, 2007
Here's Your Answer!
Analysis of: Homebuilders Hammered. Time for M&A? (www.businessweek.com)
I believe there is more pain to go in the housing market including serious defaults where home and land prices will implode.  I believe you won’t see the turn until 2008 and even then not until the latter half.  And I think the turn will stabilize at a lower overall construction number since...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: There’s still room for real estate funds to roam (www.usatoday.com)
As the article points out, REIT stocks have doubled on average in the last three years.  No doubt that in the mid 1990’s, commercial real estate was out-of-favor – for a song prices.  But dividend yields are now at 3.78 % - negative leverage to the private exit buyers.  So REIT investors...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Brookfield Deal for Mills May Not End Drama (www.wsj.com)
Brookfield has offered $ 156.25 per sq. ft. for the 48 million sq. feet in the remaining 38 shopping centers in the Mills portfolio.  Eighteen percent of the cost in cash will be paid at closing.  I believe that the deal will not return historical costs to the shareholders and reproduction...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Double Trouble for Mortgage Shares (www.wsj.com)
I believe we will see a further significant downturn in housing prices which will follow an abundant oversupply of homes on the market produced by defaults over the next year.- Real estate broker volume may increase but home building and land development will be off.- The purchase side of mortgage banking...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
February 1, 2007
Is Bob Toll Right?
Analysis of: Mr. Toll Turns To Towers (www.wsj.com)
I believe we will now have a business downturn as result of reduced demand in the housing and auto industries and the debt service requirement on the federal budget.  I think China and other offshore sources have been funding our consumer spending with low interest rates when they advance funds...
Jim Belfiore, President
Jim Belfiore, President
Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
Analysis of: New Homes Sales: Back from the Dead? (www.cnnmoney.com)
Belfiore Real Estate Consulting data suggests the optmism created with the release of today's government data is not warranted.  The data is not refelctive of conditions in the Phoenix metro area.
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Blackstone Raises Stakes in EOP Battle (online.wsj.com)
No matter who the buyer is, I believe this is the last tough deal in an out of control market.  Mr. Roth at Vornado says that every deal he didn’t buy in the last decade was a mistake and he is right.  Nevertheless, he’s probably going to regret this one of he keeps overbidding to win. ...

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