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February 11, 2008Challenging Year Not in Question, Depth is
Analysis of: Housing Forecast: More Storms | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
Few will debate whether or not prices are actually falling; most every measurement has recently shown a decline, and with economic projections what they are, prices are expected to continue to fall. How long and how far are the questions at hand. Belfiore Real Estate Consulting (BREC) has...
February 11, 2008Notes on the Evolution of the Sub-Prime Solution
Analysis of: Preventing a Panic | www.usnews.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The Editorial referenced presents a picture of treasury risk that is not understood and therefore not ratable at this time. The combination of insurance underwriting failures and leverage and ultimate liability, however, at the worst threatens to bust institutions holding portfolios when the losses...
February 4, 2008The Mall is in free-fall
Analysis of: Birth, Death and Shopping | www.economist.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The modern mall is a creature that is usually now 35 or so years old. The birth and evolution of the industry is chronicled in the featured article. Originally some 1600 strong, the breed now numbers say 1100 and will diminish further as the next era evolves.
February 4, 2008The U.S. needs the basic housing product it last built n the 1940's
Analysis of: Home Affordability | www.marketwatch.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The featured commentary notes that even as home prices across the nation implode, affordability ratios are not moving in favor of the consumer. Wages are lagging the increase in household budget items such as utility costs, food, transportation, gasoline and heating oil, communications services...
January 28, 2008What's happening on the border?
Analysis of: Tijuana Mayhem | www.signonsandiego.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
At the same time the subject article was running, the New York Times and Los Angeles Times printed articles about the Federales pursuing the gangs on Tijuana’s streets and the mayor taking gunfire at home. This vast country of say 50+ million is looking more and more like its third world cousins...
January 22, 2008
SIGN POSTS INDICATE BETTER YEAR FOR LAS VEGAS
Analysis of: Homes for Sale in Las Vegas Still Sliding | www.lvrj.com
Author: Steve Bottfeld, Principal, Marketing Solutions
SIGN POSTS INDICATE BETTER YEAR FOR LAS VEGAS
Analysis of: Homes for Sale in Las Vegas Still Sliding | www.lvrj.com
Author: Steve Bottfeld, Principal, Marketing Solutions
Housing market’s statistics from 2007 showed why Las Vegas builders and Realtors raised their glasses to toast the New Year with trembling hands. Many analysts have already forecast 2008 to be a worse year for Las Vegas than 2007. I disagree.
January 22, 2008Contrasting housing markets
Analysis of: New housing outlook: 5 years to recover | www.azcentral.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Finally we have the first forecast of a housing recovery that seems believable. The five year forecast for Phoenix appeals to my sense of reality and I agree. I also agree that we will forget the current pain and euphoria will reign again.
January 14, 2008
What is the 2008 outlook for homebuilding?
Analysis of: Analyzing Homebuilder Risks | seekingalpha.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
What is the 2008 outlook for homebuilding?
Analysis of: Analyzing Homebuilder Risks | seekingalpha.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
What will happen in 2008 for the homebuilding industry? Will cash be generated? Will there be failures? Will there be profits?
January 14, 2008How do you like the residential real estate market now?
Analysis of: Bank of America Eats Countrywide For Long Term Gains | www.therealestatebloggers.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
No matter the price or terms of the B of A-Countrywide transaction, you’ve now got a combo that dominates the market in a way that looks like GM/Ford/Chrysler in the auto industry. In a business that was traditionally fragmented, twenty years of Wall Street activity in the era of the PC has rolled...
January 7, 2008We need working cities to be competitive in ths world
Analysis of: In Major Projects, Agreeing Not To Disagree | www.nytimes.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Every city has this problem. The public sector has little capability to meet the needs for streets, sewers, water systems, power grids and the other backbone items required to open for business every day. What’s fundable is patchwork and it appears we’re patching the patches too often now.
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DBSI Failure Shows Spread of Turmoil in Real Estate
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"Bottom" of the housing market is not found solely at the relationship between income and house prices.
December 1, 2008
NAR--Not At-all Realistic
November 28, 2008
Believe Half of What You See and None Of What You Read
November 25, 2008
WITH FRIENDS LIKE THIS, TARGET DOESN'T NEED ENEMIES
November 24, 2008
IT'S STARTING!
November 20, 2008