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June 9, 2008Housing indicators to note
Analysis of: Housing woes won’t end soon … | www.usatoday.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
When you read that the subject poll showed that 59% of those polled believed that now is a good time to buy, you realize that the American Dream is still a great big pad with a 6.000 pound SUV or two in the garage no matter what. JUst like land developers and builders, if you will loan money,...
June 6, 2008Phoenix Attached Projects in Trouble
Analysis of: $3.1M lien filed against condo developer | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
The question many looking from the outside-in may soon start asking is, “How many buyers are there for $300 / square foot to $800 / square foot housing in Phoenix?” As the single-family market bottoms out, the answer will come. Hopefully the timing is sooner rather than later.
June 5, 2008
CDD's aren't all their cracked up to be...
Analysis of: Residential real estate set to double | www.business24-7.ae
Author: Carl Streck, Principal, Trinity Development Group
CDD's aren't all their cracked up to be...
Analysis of: Residential real estate set to double | www.business24-7.ae
Author: Carl Streck, Principal, Trinity Development Group
For years developers were utilizing this public finance tool as a way to drive up their bottom line while passing on the infrastructure cost to the end homeowner. This is a thing of the past.
June 2, 2008Why is there no effort by the media to understand the DEMAND side of the housing industry?
Analysis of: The Truth Behind Florida's Housing Numbers | online.wsj.com
Author: Anthony Trella, CEO/President, The Meranth Company, Inc.
This article is just another example of somewhat reckless reporting by the “drive-by” media. Yes, there was excessive overbuilding of housing during the three years prior to 2006. Yes, there is a huge number of empty or unsold housing that must be sold over the next few years. This message...
June 2, 2008Apartment investments are performing poorly in Phoenix now
Analysis of: Best time in years to be a renter | www.eastvalleytribune.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
When you combine rents set and projected at unrealistic levels and an economy where only 22% of jobs statewide pay $17 per hour plus benefits with a surplus of single family homes, you get high vacancy rates in apartment communities. When the government is seeking higher tax revenue from income...
May 29, 2008For Buyers with Income, Feelings are Problem, not Financing
Analysis of: Consumers Are Downbeat on Economy | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
An improvement in consumer sentiment will lead to an improvement in new home traffic and home sales, as well as an improvement in other areas of the economy. Buyers that “feel” good make confident purchases. Watch consumer sentiment and confidence indices, as well as BREC traffic count figures,...
May 27, 2008HOA Bankruptcies Coming
Analysis of: As Dues Dry Up, The Neighbors Pay | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
Rising costs and high delinquencies are pushing HOAs into bankruptcy. Add HOA solvency to your underwriting checklist.
May 20, 2008
The Beginning of The Beginning: Las Vegas turning the Corner
Analysis of: Housing Prices Going Lower | www.lvrj.com
Author: Steve Bottfeld, Principal, Marketing Solutions
The Beginning of The Beginning: Las Vegas turning the Corner
Analysis of: Housing Prices Going Lower | www.lvrj.com
Author: Steve Bottfeld, Principal, Marketing Solutions
To paraphrase Winston Churchill, April’s housing data for Las Vegas could be the “beginning of the beginning.” undefined· -----Prices of ALL new homes have reached a yearly high of $291,080 – just 9.3% below last April. The price differential between 2008...
May 19, 2008South Florida Condominium Minefield -- Condominium Associations
Analysis of: Investor Report: Miami-Dade County | realtytimes.com
Author: Anthony Trella, CEO/President, The Meranth Company, Inc.
Buyers and Investors Beware: In addition to determining values (prices), careful analysis of the financial conditions of Condominium Associations (CA's) must be prudently examined before purchasing.
May 14, 2008
Continued Housing Difficulties
Analysis of: The Housing Crisis is Over | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Continued Housing Difficulties
Analysis of: The Housing Crisis is Over | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
The housing bust is not over and trends continue to be negative. The only positive activity is that homebuilding stocks have gone up, without a good reason. We still have a ways to go to work through all this.
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Mag Mile Maul
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Whatever you do, don't buy Sears
money.cnn.com
"Bottom" of the housing market is not found solely at the relationship between income and house prices.
December 1, 2008
NAR--Not At-all Realistic
November 28, 2008
Believe Half of What You See and None Of What You Read
November 25, 2008
WITH FRIENDS LIKE THIS, TARGET DOESN'T NEED ENEMIES
November 24, 2008
IT'S STARTING!
November 20, 2008

