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November 19, 2008Reduced demand shuts down IP's highest cost paper machine
Analysis of: INTERNATIONAL PAPER TO SHUT UNCOATED PM IN VIRGINIA | www.paperage.com
Author: Dave Hillman, Independent Consultant, Dave Hillman
IP trails Domtar in UFS market share 25% to 35%. Whereas Domtar has older mills at Kingsport, Johnsonburg and Rothschild, IP has newer, lower cost mills at Courtland and Selma, Alabama and Eastover, SC. IP has now shut it's higher cost machine.....will Domtar follow by shutting down...
November 13, 2008Recession is accelerating the closure of many pulp/paper mills
Analysis of: Metsa-Botnia Threatens Closure Of Pulp Mill In Kaskinen | www.hs.fi
Author: Dave Hillman, Independent Consultant, Dave Hillman
Even during the boom years of 2006-first half of 2008 it was predicted that as many as 90 paper machines in Western Europe would be shut down as well as a half dozen older/small pulp mills over the next 5 years. The current economic crisis and accompanying business slowdown is forcing companies...
November 10, 2008Falling Pulp Prices Are A Shock To Both Buyers and Sellers
Analysis of: Botnia to Cut 90,000 Tons of Pulp Production in 2008 | www.paperage.com
Author: Dave Hillman, Independent Consultant, Dave Hillman
Producers had expected to produce 60 million mt in 2008 but now two dozen pulp mills are taking one and two week shutdowns to keep from building any further inventory. Worldwide inventory is at 4.688 mmt - which is 44 days days-of-supply. This pulp is located at the mills, in transit, or,...
November 5, 2008China's disposables industry continues to expand
Analysis of: METSO TO DELIVER TWO TISSUE MACHINES TO CHINA | www.paperage.com
Author: Dave Hillman, Independent Consultant, Dave Hillman
While a nation's economy can go through normal business cycles, its middle class will continue to use convenience products with which they've become accustomed. Examples are bath and facial tissue, paper towels, baby diapers, adult briefs, feminie hygiene, incontinent pads and air laid nonwoven...
October 30, 2008Loss of Sawlog Demand Means a Severe Drop In Logging Capacity
Analysis of: North American Woodfiber Demand Falls On Shutdowns | www.paperage.com
Author: Dave Hillman, Independent Consultant, Dave Hillman
The loss of logging capacity to an industry already battling wood supply issues (higher costs than almost any other area of the world) has serious implications for the future. When sawmills shut down the flow of chips to nearby pulp mills ceases. Now those pulp mills must resort to logging...
October 23, 2008Older & smaller pulp mills have outlived their usefullness
Analysis of: Smurfit-Stone to Close Pontiac Pulp Mill in Quebec | paperage.com
Author: Dave Hillman, Independent Consultant, Dave Hillman
The most profitable pulp mills are in the low cost countries of Brazil, Chile and Indonesia. These mills have low labor and low wood costs but they have an even more important advantage: they are modern mills employing the latest technology having a very low maintenance liability...
October 15, 2008Are Super-corrugators The Wave Of The Future?
Analysis of: Smurfit-Stone Oppens New Corrugated Container Plant in CA | www.paperage.com
Author: Dave Hillman, Independent Consultant, Dave Hillman
Box plants were formerly strategically located near customers which required custom graphics, new/novel shapes and sizes and just-in-time service. These smaller plants were nimble and placed great emphasis on customer service. Now, however, economies of scale and new technology have caused...
October 13, 2008Does the Somoa, CA (Evergreen) mill signal the start of additional mill shuts?
Analysis of: Evergreen Pulp to Shut Down Indefinitely Due to Weak Market Conditions | www.paperage.com
Author: Dave Hillman, Independent Consultant, Dave Hillman
This unbleached softwood mill was originally purchased about five years ago to supply UBK for Lee & Mann's several linerboard mills in China. Last year capital money was spent to upgrade it to a fully bleached NBSK mill. Since the demand in China is still there, does this mean that Lee &...
September 19, 2008A new "super pulp producer" emerges!
Analysis of: Votorantim,AraInvest Agree On Investment Terms | www.paperage.com
Author: Dave Hillman, Independent Consultant, Dave Hillman
This merger effectively produces a major consolidation in the Brazilian BEKP market pulp industry which has long been talked about as being beneficial. Having so much capacity in the hands of one super-producer certainly would seem to lessen chances of rogue discounting during a down cycle.
VCP...
September 17, 2008SCA in Mexico: a good example of a rapidly growing market
Analysis of: SCA To Build $240 Million Tissue Mill in Mexico | www.paperage.com
Author: Dave Hillman, Independent Consultant, Dave Hillman
A good measure of a country's growing middle class is the amount of disposable products being used annually. This involved facial tissue (all virgin), bath tissue (mostly recycled fiber), paper towels (can be either or a combination), baby diapers, adult briefs, feminine hygiene and incontinent pads. ...
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