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September 12, 2008RIO - Getting the Most Value for Your Product
Analysis of: Brazilian Miner Vale Confirms Talks to Raise Asia Iron-Ore Prices | online.wsj.com
Author: Markus Bates, President, BCM Enterprises, LLC
1. Timing of CVRD announcement is rather odd with record iron ore inventories and steel prices beginning to slide in China. 2. Longterm mismatch between iron ore supply and steel demand not readily apparent in today's market. 3. The gap in vessel freight spread between Brazil and Australia...
September 10, 2008Railcar leasing gets a thumbs up from CIT
Analysis of: UPDATE 1-CIT says will retain railcar leasing unit | www.reuters.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
CIT Group Inc. (CIT) had placed its railcar leasing business on the market and invited several bidders to make an offer for its assets before changing its mind and deciding to hold onto the business. They were not alone in considering a sale of their railcar leasing business, although they were perhaps...
September 8, 2008The Stupidest Waste of Money: Subsidizing Manufacturers To Locate Or Remain In The US While Failing To Fund American Natural Resource Production To Supply Those Same Manufacturers.
Analysis of: Manufacturers turn to US | www.ft.com
Author: Jack Lifton, Managing Director, Jack Lifton, LLC
Incredibly American states from which manufacturing jobs were lost by the hundreds of thousands over the last few years are bribing foreign heavy industry, the very industry that we were told by Wall Street was 'obsolete in the modern globalized American service economy, to set up manufacturing plants...
September 3, 2008Aside from Wabtec and one or two other supply companies, real growth in railroad industry is hard to find.
Analysis of: You Need This Growth Stock | www.stockpickr.com
Author: Toby Kolstad, President, Rail Theory Forecasts
The current renaissance for the railroad industry began in 2004 when railroad traffic exploded (double digit gains in some key traffic segments) and freight rates were unlocked and allowed to seek a market level. For the railroad companies, the exceptional profit gains since 2005 have been almost exclusively...
September 1, 2008Recalls: The True Costs of Outsouricng Both The Part And The Quality Control
Analysis of: GM recalling 944,000 vehicles | www.forbes.com
Author: Jack Lifton, Managing Director, Jack Lifton, LLC
The Detroit Three followed the lead of Jacques Nasser at Ford in the early 1990s and began to eliminate internal supplier quality management and PPAP, production parts approval processes. After internal engineering supplier monitoring had been made into a supplier self approval regime came the outsourcing...
August 29, 2008Bob Lutz Seems to Have Learned Doublespeak From George Orwell. Failure is Success, Says Lutz.
Analysis of: Carmakers Deserve Loan Guarantees, G.M. Official Says | www.nytimes.com
Author: Jack Lifton, Managing Director, Jack Lifton, LLC
On what basis do OEM American carmakers deserve federal loan guarantees? Is it because their legacy costs weren't their own fault? Is it because they made lower quality vehicles than their foreign competitors? Is it because they sent American jobs overseas so that the unemployed workers they created...
August 28, 2008Wrong Timing For Shipyard Consolidation
Analysis of: Usual suspects | www.tradewinds.no
Author: Craig Marston, Managing Director, CEM Marine
Tradewinds reported that the list of suitors for the 50.4% stake being offered in Daewoo Shipbuilding & Marine Engineering (DSME) includes Hyundai Heavy Industry, Posco, the GS Group, and Hanwha Group. Analysts expect a bidding war to result. While a great time for sellers to unlock...
August 28, 2008Jinhui Too Optimistic
Analysis of: Macro meltdown? | www.tradewinds.no
Author: Craig Marston, Managing Director, CEM Marine
Jinhui Shipping & Transportation (Oslo:JIN.OL) reported record profits and simultaneously warned of weaker medium term prospects. The company rightly cited macroeconomic concerns on the demand side, but is overly optimistic related to the supply side.
August 27, 2008NOL Likely To Acquire Hapag-Lloyd
Analysis of: NOL will not pay over the odds for Hapag | www.lloydslist.com
Author: Craig Marston, Managing Director, CEM Marine
Despite the 4b Euro "minimum" price that TUI is placing on Hapag, opposition from Hamburg, and a very conservative acquisition history, NOL is very likely to be the successful bidder.
August 26, 2008Minor Metals Markets Are Not Transparent And Hedging Non Exchange Traded Metals Requires Great Skill
Analysis of: Can One Man’s Actions Take $6 Billion In Value Out Of A Minor Metal Market In A Month? | www.resourceinvestor.com
Author: Jack Lifton, Managing Director, Jack Lifton, LLC
End users of minor metals for critical purposes, i.e., for purposes that are not economically or technologically possible without a particular minor metal, can hedge the required supply of metal by financing the producer's output, through offtake agreements, for example, and by being the buyer of last...
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