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Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Wall Street’s Next Crisis (www.portfolio.com)
The time has arrived for the U.S. to pay the bill for illiquidity or rather the excesses of the last eight years of Republican economics. The prediction made in the article is for worse times than generally expected sooner than anticipated. The CMBS market is a dead issue right now with $...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
December 27, 2007
Hig rise condos blink
Analysis of: Valley Ho alters plan, turns condo units into hotel suites (www.azcentral.com)
Here’s an example of a conversion from an older hotel property in an OK but not great location losing its momentum. The per unit cost of the renovation will prevent a reasonable return from being realized for the current owners. The only investment hope will come after the monetization of losses...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: The Credit Crisis Grows (www.usnews.com)
The financial basket includes the REIT’s and REOC’s and Homebuilders and Mortgage Lenders and Realtors we’ve funded so generously that overexpansion and speculation was the business rather than the production and operation of real estate.
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Billionaire May Obstruct Macklowe Tower Project (online.wsj.com)
Commercial real estate is a business of opportunity, and opportunity comes at its own pace. 
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: The chill spreads to commercial real estate (www.latimes.com)
This article has the tenor of many articles written about the housing industry in say 2004. The initial tremors in the market are dismissed as a minor and temporary event to be followed by a steady rise thereafter.
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Decoupling' Debunked as U.S. Collapse Infects World (Update2) (www.bloomberg.com)
The Mexico resort/retirement/second home industry is suffering as buyers from the U.S. are on the sidelines. Some thirty Baja California and Sea of Cortez developments in planning are predicted to stall on the boards in the coming period. Prices have escalated at 15% annually in recent years, but no...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Commercial real estate outlook for 2008 (www.azcentral.com)
I like the content of this article except that I believe the suffering will be greater than depicted by the pros for apartments, office buildings and warehousing (the biggest part of the current industrial construction). In addition, I have been hearing for the current development cycle that the shopping...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Blackstone See’s Dip in Real Estate Revenue, Posts Loss For 3rd Quarter. (www.therealestatebloggers.com)
Blackstone has made the biggest bets in the history of commercial real estate and, now that they have gone public, we all get to see the results in greater detail. As to the Equity Office portfolio purchased from Sam Zell, the initial sales in the major markets have been consummated and the balance...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Price slump eating away home equity (www.sacbee.com)
Sacramento is a unique large metro area tied to Northern California Bay Area’s coastal communities by commuting distances and to California’s Central Valley by it’s location n the northern portion of that 500 mile long N/S by 100 mile E/W area. The Bay Area is the home of Silicon alley with its world...
Paul Burns, Owner
Paul Burns, Owner
City Investments
Analysis of: Stores See Shoppers In Retreat (www.nytimes.com)
This Christmas season is bringing a historically earlier opening of the holiday season promotional effort. The major retailers are doing everything they can to catch the shopper early through pricing wars and heavy marketing. Each wants to get a leg up on consumer shopping urges and capture the second...

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