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December 31, 20072008 won’t be great for commercial real estate
Analysis of: Wall Street’s Next Crisis | www.portfolio.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The time has arrived for the U.S. to pay the bill for illiquidity or rather the excesses of the last eight years of Republican economics. The prediction made in the article is for worse times than generally expected sooner than anticipated. The CMBS market is a dead issue right now with $...
December 27, 2007Hig rise condos blink
Analysis of: Valley Ho alters plan, turns condo units into hotel suites | www.azcentral.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Here’s an example of a conversion from an older hotel property in an OK but not great location losing its momentum. The per unit cost of the renovation will prevent a reasonable return from being realized for the current owners. The only investment hope will come after the monetization of losses...
December 26, 2007'Tis the Season
Analysis of: How Hot Land Sales Offset A Housing Glut in Phoenix | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
When Mr. Corkery wrote this article more than 2 weeks ago, the reality is few land sales were occurring in Phoenix. His timing was off: several thousand lots and option agreements are now being signed, as builder's rush to remove lots from their balance sheets prior to year-end.
December 19, 2007That building is only worth its future refinancing value
Analysis of: The Credit Crisis Grows | www.usnews.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The financial basket includes the REIT’s and REOC’s and Homebuilders and Mortgage Lenders and Realtors we’ve funded so generously that overexpansion and speculation was the business rather than the production and operation of real estate.
December 17, 2007The Credit Crunch will hurt even the most experienced who have not been wary.
Analysis of: Billionaire May Obstruct Macklowe Tower Project | online.wsj.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Commercial real estate is a business of opportunity, and opportunity comes at its own pace.
December 12, 2007Investment property prices will fall much further
Analysis of: The chill spreads to commercial real estate | www.latimes.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
This article has the tenor of many articles written about the housing industry in say 2004. The initial tremors in the market are dismissed as a minor and temporary event to be followed by a steady rise thereafter.
December 10, 2007Mexico’s resort developments show the U.S. economy affects the rest of the world
Analysis of: Decoupling' Debunked as U.S. Collapse Infects World (Update2) | www.bloomberg.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The Mexico resort/retirement/second home industry is suffering as buyers from the U.S. are on the sidelines. Some thirty Baja California and Sea of Cortez developments in planning are predicted to stall on the boards in the coming period. Prices have escalated at 15% annually in recent years, but no...
December 3, 2007Repayments to Medicare May Be Too Much to Ask
Analysis of: Medicare | Some Hospices Forced To Repay Medicare for Exceeding Reimbursement Limits as Patients Live Longer Than Expected | www.kaisernetwork.org
Author: Richard Baland, Partner, B2B CFO
The government has paid hundreds of millions less as a result of these measures. Now, the government has targeted the Hospice industry. Of course, there is no physician that can predict how long a patient will live. Physicians sign orders for Hospice patients that are terminal. The physician cannot...
December 3, 2007Scorecards Represent a Simple and Inexpensive Tool in Hospital Turnarounds
Analysis of: Crouse Hospital's Turnaround Shows There's Hope For Distressed Hospitals | www.hfma.org
Author: Richard Baland, Partner, B2B CFO
Board restructuring, Implementation of appropriate information systems, Productivity and staffing, Debt restructuring, Revenue cycle improvements, Supply expense reductions, New contracts and capital equipment approval processes are the Turnaround areas that scorecards...
November 27, 2007Phoenix is going back a fur piece according to the bloggers.
Analysis of: Commercial real estate outlook for 2008 | www.azcentral.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
I like the content of this article except that I believe the suffering will be greater than depicted by the pros for apartments, office buildings and warehousing (the biggest part of the current industrial construction). In addition, I have been hearing for the current development cycle that the shopping...
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