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May 6, 2008
Direct Expensing of Interest by Homebuilders
Analysis of: Hidden Mortgage Risks Abound in U.S. Home Market | www.bloomberg.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Direct Expensing of Interest by Homebuilders
Analysis of: Hidden Mortgage Risks Abound in U.S. Home Market | www.bloomberg.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Not capitalizing interest in inventory causes acceleration of losses and deterioration of book value.
May 1, 2008Real Commercial/Income Property Values in the U.S.
Analysis of: Shrinking Values, Growing Anxiety | nreionline.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The points of this article that I find important are the comments regarding property owners running out of money/cash in the commercial property sectors as they have in the homebuilding arena, and the comments regarding the overall strength and performance of the companies that form the...
May 1, 2008The Great Recession Coming
Analysis of: It’s (Really) The Economy, Stupid | www.portfolio.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
It appears that we have been doing nothing economically during the current administration except gorging in a huge consumption and speculative binge and conducting war in the Middle East. The subject article proposes that we will pay for this during the next administration and beyond as we rebuild...
April 24, 2008
ARE HOMEBUILDING STOCK PRICE INCREASES PREMATURE?
Analysis of: Construction Companies Are Clamoring for Managers | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
ARE HOMEBUILDING STOCK PRICE INCREASES PREMATURE?
Analysis of: Construction Companies Are Clamoring for Managers | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Recently, stock prices of most public homebuilders have increased 20-30 percent. This despite no visible signs of improvement in the overall housing industry. It seems early in the cycle for these stock price upward movements, as it appears the housing market has not yet found bottom. ...
April 24, 2008
IMPAIRMENT REVERSALS – IMPACT ON COST OF GOODS SOLD
Analysis of: New-Homes Supply Builds; Durable Goods Orders Slide | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
IMPAIRMENT REVERSALS – IMPACT ON COST OF GOODS SOLD
Analysis of: New-Homes Supply Builds; Durable Goods Orders Slide | online.wsj.com
Author: David Keller, Former Chief Financial Officer, Technical Olympic USA Inc.
Homebuilders have recorded large inventory impairments over the last couple of years. Most of these impairments have been for land and lots. As these previously impaired lots are built on and a completed home is delivered, the land component as a percentage of Cost of Goods Sold may decline...
April 21, 2008What can Hospitals do about their Spending and Borrowing in 2008?
Analysis of: University Hospitals in Cleveland makes aggressive refinancing move | blog.cleveland.com
Author: Richard Baland, Partner, B2B CFO
Increasing interest rates and debt service, a Decrease in available cash, a Migration to more fixed rate borrowing and appeals to state governments for assistance, a delay in physical plant additions/upgrades
April 15, 2008Underwiting real estate investment now is a political risk assessment
Analysis of: The Case For Housing Help | www.usnews.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
In my mind, the debate as to housing affordability and commercial real estate viability is over. The game is lost as $ 21 trillion in housing value will become $ 15 trillion in the next few years and commercial real estate values will drop 25 to 50 % on the average in the next few years.
April 14, 2008A Solution For Wall Street – What Happens to Commercial Real Estate and Housing?
Analysis of: What's wrong with Wall St. - and how to fix it | money.cnn.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
If the subject analysis is realized, the return of Wall Street to advisory services will return real estate debt to the portfolio lenders. Goodbye to the CMBS market as well as the sub-prime market. In fact, Wall Street itself will be a unit of major banking institutions. The major...
April 10, 2008Northeast Phoenix Woes: No Market for Desert Ridge?
Analysis of: Developers seek relief in state land deals | www.azcentral.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
The limited demand within Northeast Phoenix should come as no surprise to the State. The deceleration in home sales has created a surplus of finished and planned lots. Despite current market conditions, BREC anticipates the market area continuing to hold value better than most Valley submarkets...
April 9, 2008Economic Fundamentals Slipping Away
Analysis of: Are we or aren't we in a recession? | www.boston.com
Author: John Burns, President, John Burns Real Estate Consulting, Inc.
Several national housing market indicators have been deteriorating at historically high rates in the last several months. The downward trend of these indicators points to a national recession.
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