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July 8, 2008How Long Is This Going To Take?
Analysis of: Bank Job | www.portfolio.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
This article notes the recent statement building financing of financial institutions and concludes its opening remarks with “I don’t know, you don’t know, and they don’t know”. The article states the assumptions of current bank recapitalizations and in particular recaps the Bear Stearns acquisition. ...
July 2, 2008The Second Half: Buyer's Market
Analysis of: Unfinished subdivisions grinding to a halt | www.azcentral.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
Bad news for some, though, will soon turn out to be good news for others. The second half of this year will yield ample opportunities for residential land / lot buyers.
July 1, 2008Pushing to the Bottom
Analysis of: KB Home’s Loss Widens as Inventory of Unsold Houses Mounts | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
Investors and market observers can count on continued homebuilder losses, as home prices a pushed downward further.
June 25, 2008Price Corrections Are Not As Bad As Reported
Analysis of: Home Prices Continue Sharp Descent | money.cnn.com
Author: John Burns, President, John Burns Real Estate Consulting, Inc.
Home prices have indeed experienced significant corrections. However, some reports of price reductions may be exaggerated due to innacurate methodology.
June 23, 2008Commercial Real Estate Recourse Financing
Analysis of: Guarantee Gamble: Developers Dread Return of Recourse | online.wsj.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
There were names like Fox & Carskadon, McNeil and Consolidated Capital among the biggest income property acquisition syndicators in the 70’s and 80’s, but no more. And no more are thousands of other syndicators of that era big and small, who generally fell by the wayside as they could not...
June 23, 2008American Demographics
Analysis of: The American Dream Goes On | www.usnews.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
The referenced article begins with the now usual doomsday message which many including this writer have now exhausted ad nauseam. Three relatively short paragraphs later, the Editor-in-Chief wraps up the forgone conclusions neatly and attempts to move on to some new meat. You can read the...
June 16, 2008Hopw long wil our finacial institutions take to recover?
Analysis of: After $4.6 Billion in Losses Head Says FHA May Have To Shut Down | www.therealestatebloggers.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
Three years after the change in the residential market, we have now come to the failure of the financial institutions which have supported the real estate backed consumer goods market of the recent past. You might just as well have written the article about FNMA or FHLMC, as the same solvency...
June 16, 2008Another Lesson to be Learned?
Analysis of: Lessons From the Housing Bubble | online.wsj.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
Our next lesson may be that homebuyers should carry some of the financial risk associated with owning a home.
June 9, 2008Housing indicators to note
Analysis of: Housing woes won’t end soon … | www.usatoday.com
Author: Paul Burns, Owner, City Investments
When you read that the subject poll showed that 59% of those polled believed that now is a good time to buy, you realize that the American Dream is still a great big pad with a 6.000 pound SUV or two in the garage no matter what. JUst like land developers and builders, if you will loan money,...
June 6, 2008Phoenix Attached Projects in Trouble
Analysis of: $3.1M lien filed against condo developer | www.bizjournals.com
Author: Jim Belfiore, President, Belfiore Real Estate Consulting
The question many looking from the outside-in may soon start asking is, “How many buyers are there for $300 / square foot to $800 / square foot housing in Phoenix?” As the single-family market bottoms out, the answer will come. Hopefully the timing is sooner rather than later.
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